{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "351fcef0-4e3f-40df-836a-4177573a75c0",
    "symbol": "BKF",
    "name": "iShares MSCI BIC ETF",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -52.594,
    "architecture_energy": 62.567,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.278,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.457,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.9,
        "rotation_up": 28.0,
        "upward_expansion": 22.5,
        "deceleration": 66.99,
        "rotation_down": 43.95,
        "downward_expansion": 65.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        696.400024,
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        702.111928,
        714.618637
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 696.400024,
    "trend_reference": 735.739937,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.05347,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 707.775583,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.016072,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.491348,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.103709,
    "excess_performance": -0.049042,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.05347,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048356,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.016072,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069621,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.114913,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043476,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.103709,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.0,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.0,
      "dry_up": 0.0,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.004944,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.092812,
      "from_high_reference": -0.173406,
      "from_low_reference": 0.003771
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 735.739937,
      "fair_value_reference": 707.775583,
      "structural_low": 693.784058,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0298,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.052425,
        "worst_return": -0.037438,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.022765,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006269,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.028592,
        "worst_return": -0.054715,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.062678,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.14984,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.018476,
        "worst_return": -0.143833,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.058278,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.175992,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "best_return": 0.058278,
        "worst_return": 0.058278,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.054949,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.03982,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.022688,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.005773,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.038448,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.014008,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.047923,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-02-20",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.090862,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "active": true
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 696.400024,
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        "typical_volume": 160.8,
        "trend": 742.379936,
        "fair_value": 706.549035,
        "relative_strength": -11.644719,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -52.868539,
        "energy": 83.210376,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 696.400024,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 160.8,
        "trend": 739.59327,
        "fair_value": 707.041612,
        "relative_strength": -11.914957,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.730327,
        "energy": 62.895398,
        "activity_lines": [
          696.400024,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 696.400024,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 160.8,
        "trend": 735.739937,
        "fair_value": 707.775583,
        "relative_strength": -11.491348,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.594012,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}