{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3534ffff-6b81-4244-bcad-883230cde79c",
    "symbol": "FUL",
    "name": "H B Fuller Company",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 59.769,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -45.324,
    "architecture_energy": 38.779,
    "architecture_maturity": 5.021,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.973,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.46,
        "rotation_up": 16.54,
        "upward_expansion": 9.63,
        "deceleration": 39.2,
        "rotation_down": 57.67,
        "downward_expansion": 82.97
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        57.4664,
        58.283831,
        59.486856,
        59.755196
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 61.07,
    "trend_reference": 60.300127,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.012767,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 65.841867,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.072475,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -9.153346,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.071795,
    "excess_performance": -0.19742,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012767,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001085,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.072475,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005002,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.091533,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011021,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.071795,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.559325,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3605477,
      "relative_activity": 1.028066,
      "balance": 0.559325,
      "dry_up": 0.971918,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.080074,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.471402,
      "from_high_reference": -0.106554,
      "from_low_reference": 0.258822
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 60.300127,
      "fair_value_reference": 65.841867,
      "structural_low": 48.513605,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.00164,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01903,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.065864,
        "worst_return": -0.120432,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.038551,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003137,
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        "worst_return": -0.259379,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.031566,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.229706,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.011179,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "return": 0.066555,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": -16.327391,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 3727349,
        "typical_volume": 3474217.1,
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        "fair_value": 66.08016,
        "relative_strength": -13.057165,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.794907,
        "energy": 41.502707,
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          58.027749,
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          60.396196
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 55.45467,
        "volume": 2567352,
        "typical_volume": 3476379.45,
        "trend": 60.58326,
        "fair_value": 65.984966,
        "relative_strength": -14.139948,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.353134,
        "energy": 56.248408,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.645402,
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          60.054796
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 55.3,
        "volume": 3734082,
        "typical_volume": 3516163.7,
        "trend": 60.430543,
        "fair_value": 65.892547,
        "relative_strength": -15.020875,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.92955,
        "energy": 63.614871,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.83852,
          58.022981,
          59.346389,
          59.71394
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 61.07,
        "volume": 3605477,
        "typical_volume": 3507048.65,
        "trend": 60.300127,
        "fair_value": 65.841867,
        "relative_strength": -9.153346,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -45.324161,
        "energy": 38.779492,
        "activity_lines": [
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          59.755196
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}