{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3536f9d4-3550-4a65-a8d5-f95a4309684e", "symbol": "LVWR", "name": "LiveWire Group Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.741, "architecture_energy": 17.868, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.771, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.7, "rotation_up": 31.73, "upward_expansion": 21.79, "deceleration": 41.29, "rotation_down": 34.23, "downward_expansion": 60.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.27362, 1.191705, 1.288537, 1.414606 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.08, "trend_reference": 1.66033, "distance_from_trend": -0.349527, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.299551, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.796209, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -67.177593, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.595506, "excess_performance": -0.721131, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.349527, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.390705, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.796209, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067912, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.671776, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082384, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.595506, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 12.139922, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5493771, "relative_activity": 0.42291, "balance": 12.139922, "dry_up": 4.670459, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.530335, "annualized_volatility": 1.748419, "from_high_reference": -0.832298, "from_low_reference": 0.665895 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.66033, "fair_value_reference": 5.299551, "structural_low": 0.6483, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.057143, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.054461, "regime_survival": 0.9, "best_return": 4.97, "worst_return": -0.576271, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.186981, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.22322, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 1.387435, "worst_return": -0.614141, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.362293, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.401666, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 1.780105, "worst_return": -0.674617, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.423754, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.573678, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.13089, "worst_return": -0.716617, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-04-05", "end": "2024-07-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.071217, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.169406, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.846505, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.233333, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.362694, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.093617, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.348449, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.123596, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.595506, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 9.98, "volume": 324582, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 11.48, "volume": 189419, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-09-01", "close": 11.36, "volume": 125372, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-09-08", "close": 10.5, "volume": 87940, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-09-15", "close": 10.0, "volume": 190351, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-09-22", "close": 7.77, "volume": 224158, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-09-29", "close": 6.93, "volume": 172809, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 8.46, "volume": 89074, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-10-13", "close": 7.72, "volume": 173063, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-10-20", "close": 8.33, "volume": 187631, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-10-27", "close": 9.51, "volume": 155446, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "close": 9.66, "volume": 307689, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-11-10", "close": 9.19, "volume": 115844, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-11-17", "close": 9.91, "volume": 104881, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-11-24", "close": 10.98, "volume": 286637, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-12-01", "close": 10.88, "volume": 267828, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-12-08", "close": 10.94, "volume": 358838, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-12-15", "close": 10.92, "volume": 976527, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-12-22", "close": 11.84, "volume": 523190, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-12-29", "close": 11.31, "volume": 253808, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-01-05", "close": 11.18, "volume": 184401, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-01-12", "close": 10.93, "volume": 139313, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-01-19", "close": 11.32, "volume": 147410, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-01-26", "close": 11.35, "volume": 98560, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-02-02", "close": 10.27, "volume": 127690, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-02-09", "close": 10.72, "volume": 145768, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-02-16", "close": 10.54, "volume": 153685, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-02-23", "close": 9.42, "volume": 120581, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-03-01", "close": 9.35, "volume": 77409, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-03-08", "close": 8.19, "volume": 94877, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-03-15", "close": 6.08, "volume": 213798, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-03-22", "close": 6.79, "volume": 125248, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-03-29", "close": 7.23, "volume": 69366, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-04-05", "close": 6.74, "volume": 66468, "typical_volume": 221570.1, "trend": 9.482, "fair_value": 8.55275, "relative_strength": -39.234837, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.473455, "energy": 86.146008, "activity_lines": [ 6.889333, 7.75, 9.033, 9.378796 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-12", "close": 7.34, "volume": 95356, "typical_volume": 212006.05, "trend": 9.393333, "fair_value": 8.537778, "relative_strength": -32.745619, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.273455, "energy": 66.098296, "activity_lines": [ 7.000667, 7.533091, 8.794048, 9.240602 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-19", "close": 7.56, "volume": 70999, "typical_volume": 202164.6, "trend": 9.386333, "fair_value": 8.525854, "relative_strength": -28.36076, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.391937, "energy": 50.208322, "activity_lines": [ 7.242, 7.409455, 8.593381, 9.122323 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 6.8, "volume": 147238, "typical_volume": 191584.6, "trend": 9.382, "fair_value": 8.50506, "relative_strength": -36.908852, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.387542, "energy": 49.09828, "activity_lines": [ 7.131333, 7.205091, 8.336143, 8.955462 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 6.89, "volume": 107818, "typical_volume": 148149.15, "trend": 9.329667, "fair_value": 8.485833, "relative_strength": -36.140915, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.476314, "energy": 46.020791, "activity_lines": [ 7.05, 7.085091, 8.10719, 8.794688 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 7.06, "volume": 127575, "typical_volume": 128368.4, "trend": 9.307667, "fair_value": 8.469059, "relative_strength": -35.53033, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.574154, "energy": 40.050322, "activity_lines": [ 7.048, 7.042, 7.913619, 8.648258 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-17", "close": 6.73, "volume": 150908, "typical_volume": 123223.4, "trend": 9.254333, "fair_value": 8.448837, "relative_strength": -39.308402, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.995197, "energy": 46.556459, "activity_lines": [ 6.914667, 6.980545, 7.711381, 8.481957 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 6.63, "volume": 108867, "typical_volume": 119446.7, "trend": 9.158333, "fair_value": 8.427931, "relative_strength": -39.79302, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.405676, "energy": 48.988277, "activity_lines": [ 6.788667, 6.927455, 7.521429, 8.312645 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-31", "close": 6.49, "volume": 75071, "typical_volume": 116234.6, "trend": 9.052667, "fair_value": 8.405909, "relative_strength": -40.317622, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.117297, "energy": 48.427052, "activity_lines": [ 6.678, 6.838909, 7.33981, 8.140495 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 7.1, "volume": 73394, "typical_volume": 112533.8, "trend": 8.983, "fair_value": 8.391236, "relative_strength": -34.886962, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.834352, "energy": 42.843387, "activity_lines": [ 6.791333, 6.866727, 7.237429, 8.014516 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 6.93, "volume": 95039, "typical_volume": 112357.75, "trend": 8.883667, "fair_value": 8.375, "relative_strength": -36.864403, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.538852, "energy": 40.509644, "activity_lines": [ 6.834, 6.866, 7.138952, 7.882065 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 7.22, "volume": 95665, "typical_volume": 110756.5, "trend": 8.758333, "fair_value": 8.362308, "relative_strength": -33.819354, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.51979, "energy": 31.773128, "activity_lines": [ 6.982, 6.914545, 7.089143, 7.774731 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 7.66, "volume": 141503, "typical_volume": 110543.25, "trend": 8.651, "fair_value": 8.354674, "relative_strength": -28.865132, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.833451, "energy": 20.528667, "activity_lines": [ 7.244, 7.045273, 7.095762, 7.703871 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 7.22, "volume": 36948, "typical_volume": 104706.4, "trend": 8.527, "fair_value": 8.342473, "relative_strength": -33.300925, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.062272, "energy": 15.503087, "activity_lines": [ 7.290667, 7.094182, 7.075048, 7.611548 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 7.91, "volume": 76782, "typical_volume": 102516.45, "trend": 8.426667, "fair_value": 8.337872, "relative_strength": -26.681972, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.498275, "energy": 13.347914, "activity_lines": [ 7.518667, 7.260909, 7.135857, 7.571742 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 8.03, "volume": 149646, "typical_volume": 106128.3, "trend": 8.299667, "fair_value": 8.334632, "relative_strength": -23.474015, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 2.815151, "energy": 17.076825, "activity_lines": [ 7.732667, 7.430909, 7.215286, 7.546151 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 7.89, "volume": 155238, "typical_volume": 109146.35, "trend": 8.185667, "fair_value": 8.33, "relative_strength": -23.292541, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.127068, "energy": 16.368329, "activity_lines": [ 7.826667, 7.557818, 7.287667, 7.51972 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 6.7, "volume": 102399, "typical_volume": 103576.4, "trend": 8.036333, "fair_value": 8.313196, "relative_strength": -32.523726, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.747838, "energy": 15.669458, "activity_lines": [ 7.479333, 7.447273, 7.248143, 7.423871 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 6.49, "volume": 81636, "typical_volume": 101395.8, "trend": 7.888333, "fair_value": 8.294592, "relative_strength": -33.613085, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.565772, "energy": 23.061295, "activity_lines": [ 7.126, 7.297273, 7.185667, 7.324108 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 6.67, "volume": 70123, "typical_volume": 101433.65, "trend": 7.733333, "fair_value": 8.278182, "relative_strength": -33.619887, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.52566, "energy": 31.11, "activity_lines": [ 6.881333, 7.18, 7.141762, 7.245505 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 6.57, "volume": 54013, "typical_volume": 100810.9, "trend": 7.574, "fair_value": 8.2611, "relative_strength": -34.498198, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.356173, "energy": 41.049804, "activity_lines": [ 6.686, 7.052364, 7.091, 7.170452 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 6.58, "volume": 43360, "typical_volume": 98211.1, "trend": 7.451, "fair_value": 8.244455, "relative_strength": -33.586924, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.094941, "energy": 52.191488, "activity_lines": [ 6.591333, 6.933091, 7.042, 7.106323 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 5.47, "volume": 685513, "typical_volume": 128936.8, "trend": 7.276, "fair_value": 8.217255, "relative_strength": -41.526326, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.864038, "energy": 69.290515, "activity_lines": [ 6.214, 6.623636, 6.890905, 6.978516 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 7.04, "volume": 228712, "typical_volume": 133010.5, "trend": 7.159333, "fair_value": 8.205825, "relative_strength": -26.807775, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.817517, "energy": 39.922417, "activity_lines": [ 6.442, 6.639455, 6.899286, 6.96329 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 6.2, "volume": 277569, "typical_volume": 141498.05, "trend": 7.052, "fair_value": 8.186538, "relative_strength": -35.913737, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.542537, "energy": 34.253077, "activity_lines": [ 6.353333, 6.505818, 6.826524, 6.901398 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 6.21, "volume": 70104, "typical_volume": 138624.5, "trend": 6.947333, "fair_value": 8.167714, "relative_strength": -35.768338, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.212699, "energy": 33.581876, "activity_lines": [ 6.299333, 6.405091, 6.758, 6.847075 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 5.87, "volume": 131053, "typical_volume": 137631.75, "trend": 6.87, "fair_value": 8.146038, "relative_strength": -38.768669, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.838085, "energy": 32.059369, "activity_lines": [ 6.156, 6.275636, 6.661143, 6.77757 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 6.2, "volume": 99498, "typical_volume": 137163.3, "trend": 6.874, "fair_value": 8.12785, "relative_strength": -35.511638, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.629027, "energy": 31.71339, "activity_lines": [ 6.17, 6.242909, 6.59981, 6.734344 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 6.37, "volume": 86761, "typical_volume": 137747.8, "trend": 6.86, "fair_value": 8.111574, "relative_strength": -33.60704, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.23014, "energy": 29.890305, "activity_lines": [ 6.192, 6.250182, 6.556714, 6.701828 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 5.7, "volume": 91923, "typical_volume": 138674.25, "trend": 6.809, "fair_value": 8.08945, "relative_strength": -39.047623, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.261009, "energy": 41.467575, "activity_lines": [ 6.035333, 6.137818, 6.450381, 6.626989 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 5.76, "volume": 69245, "typical_volume": 137384.55, "trend": 6.776333, "fair_value": 8.068273, "relative_strength": -36.604249, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.967704, "energy": 41.621901, "activity_lines": [ 5.932, 6.054, 6.356429, 6.559312 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 6.66, "volume": 142856, "typical_volume": 139744.1, "trend": 6.753667, "fair_value": 8.055586, "relative_strength": -29.168912, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.524219, "energy": 20.394495, "activity_lines": [ 6.158667, 6.148545, 6.353762, 6.551806 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 5.98, "volume": 121886, "typical_volume": 138763.25, "trend": 6.701, "fair_value": 8.037054, "relative_strength": -34.076512, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.849684, "energy": 26.7178, "activity_lines": [ 6.106, 6.118, 6.289, 6.501892 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 6.53, "volume": 93418, "typical_volume": 141586.75, "trend": 6.692, "fair_value": 8.023717, "relative_strength": -27.98791, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.75797, "energy": 14.04745, "activity_lines": [ 6.251333, 6.178182, 6.284619, 6.49086 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 6.0, "volume": 62661, "typical_volume": 140880.7, "trend": 6.662333, "fair_value": 8.005965, "relative_strength": -33.423397, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.870366, "energy": 16.332565, "activity_lines": [ 6.209333, 6.151273, 6.233048, 6.446215 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 5.4, "volume": 153540, "typical_volume": 141075.4, "trend": 6.607, "fair_value": 7.983304, "relative_strength": -39.414745, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.371692, "energy": 30.509367, "activity_lines": [ 5.947333, 6.018909, 6.133429, 6.364774 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 5.74, "volume": 185606, "typical_volume": 142593.8, "trend": 6.574, "fair_value": 7.963966, "relative_strength": -34.005876, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.385689, "energy": 35.629155, "activity_lines": [ 5.822667, 5.963091, 6.078714, 6.308839 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 5.16, "volume": 269470, "typical_volume": 150947.35, "trend": 6.525, "fair_value": 7.94, "relative_strength": -38.199512, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.824136, "energy": 62.125207, "activity_lines": [ 5.566, 5.804182, 5.979, 6.217613 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 4.56, "volume": 82511, "typical_volume": 150991.1, "trend": 6.460667, "fair_value": 7.911356, "relative_strength": -44.497837, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.265559, "energy": 74.792535, "activity_lines": [ 5.164, 5.555091, 5.829476, 6.090839 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 4.95, "volume": 74422, "typical_volume": 151206.05, "trend": 6.389, "fair_value": 7.886471, "relative_strength": -38.073605, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.690564, "energy": 70.195366, "activity_lines": [ 5.023333, 5.409818, 5.726286, 5.993376 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 4.51, "volume": 221325, "typical_volume": 159571.65, "trend": 6.308333, "fair_value": 7.858333, "relative_strength": -41.169518, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.788799, "energy": 75.848407, "activity_lines": [ 4.806, 5.198182, 5.589381, 5.872151 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 4.04, "volume": 187417, "typical_volume": 166774.5, "trend": 6.202333, "fair_value": 7.826777, "relative_strength": -47.507736, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.348408, "energy": 80.462241, "activity_lines": [ 4.491333, 4.923818, 5.417524, 5.725806 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 3.54, "volume": 279477, "typical_volume": 146472.7, "trend": 6.065, "fair_value": 7.791639, "relative_strength": -53.558648, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.570598, "energy": 84.599521, "activity_lines": [ 4.123333, 4.606182, 5.210143, 5.554043 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 3.15, "volume": 238221, "typical_volume": 146948.15, "trend": 5.929333, "fair_value": 7.753902, "relative_strength": -57.215446, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.596608, "energy": 89.923412, "activity_lines": [ 3.733333, 4.262, 4.97481, 5.365978 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 2.66, "volume": 136924, "typical_volume": 139915.9, "trend": 5.754333, "fair_value": 7.712823, "relative_strength": -62.799817, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.367071, "energy": 94.319582, "activity_lines": [ 3.274, 3.890182, 4.711333, 5.155054 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 2.61, "volume": 224173, "typical_volume": 147619.35, "trend": 5.573667, "fair_value": 7.672, "relative_strength": -63.012328, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.228368, "energy": 92.59538, "activity_lines": [ 2.950667, 3.57, 4.459952, 4.952194 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 2.33, "volume": 123161, "typical_volume": 147224.75, "trend": 5.388333, "fair_value": 7.629603, "relative_strength": -65.591126, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.29398, "energy": 92.680006, "activity_lines": [ 2.660667, 3.249636, 4.199048, 4.742925 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 2.3, "volume": 137209, "typical_volume": 149110.3, "trend": 5.241667, "fair_value": 7.587638, "relative_strength": -64.830376, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.358692, "energy": 90.859438, "activity_lines": [ 2.474667, 2.985818, 3.952143, 4.543677 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 2.0, "volume": 149974, "typical_volume": 152270.95, "trend": 5.092, "fair_value": 7.543984, "relative_strength": -67.729906, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.478424, "energy": 91.689507, "activity_lines": [ 2.271333, 2.719455, 3.695238, 4.334538 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 2.23, "volume": 158023, "typical_volume": 155575.95, "trend": 4.944, "fair_value": 7.502791, "relative_strength": -62.641384, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.11171, "energy": 82.539232, "activity_lines": [ 2.221333, 2.541455, 3.481048, 4.149892 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 2.02, "volume": 166553, "typical_volume": 160441.35, "trend": 4.792333, "fair_value": 7.460615, "relative_strength": -65.735559, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.005183, "energy": 79.873679, "activity_lines": [ 2.13, 2.374727, 3.263381, 3.961247 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 2.1, "volume": 96434, "typical_volume": 158120.25, "trend": 4.643, "fair_value": 7.419695, "relative_strength": -63.152487, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.087992, "energy": 72.254938, "activity_lines": [ 2.104667, 2.267818, 3.071143, 3.787548 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 1.91, "volume": 187806, "typical_volume": 161416.25, "trend": 4.524333, "fair_value": 7.377955, "relative_strength": -62.48456, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.498355, "energy": 68.260307, "activity_lines": [ 2.031333, 2.161636, 2.882524, 3.611226 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 2.36, "volume": 208481, "typical_volume": 167169.4, "trend": 4.368333, "fair_value": 7.340226, "relative_strength": -55.269104, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.881434, "energy": 62.995847, "activity_lines": [ 2.134, 2.166909, 2.756143, 3.471591 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 2.08, "volume": 108787, "typical_volume": 169475.7, "trend": 4.231, "fair_value": 7.30097, "relative_strength": -59.095923, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.951913, "energy": 61.701573, "activity_lines": [ 2.119333, 2.135636, 2.622952, 3.323957 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 2.1, "volume": 299910, "typical_volume": 176794.2, "trend": 4.094, "fair_value": 7.262444, "relative_strength": -59.739574, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.587722, "energy": 57.244906, "activity_lines": [ 2.121333, 2.118545, 2.510333, 3.186473 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "close": 1.42, "volume": 269205, "typical_volume": 180974.15, "trend": 3.945667, "fair_value": 7.219485, "relative_strength": -72.938506, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.153309, "energy": 68.134197, "activity_lines": [ 1.891333, 1.987091, 2.348667, 3.013957 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 1.0, "volume": 305741, "typical_volume": 182787.7, "trend": 3.772333, "fair_value": 7.174088, "relative_strength": -80.373522, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.048666, "energy": 77.407465, "activity_lines": [ 1.566667, 1.795818, 2.167571, 2.823914 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "close": 1.16, "volume": 444875, "typical_volume": 200905.9, "trend": 3.598667, "fair_value": 7.130507, "relative_strength": -77.862437, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.041314, "energy": 85.611624, "activity_lines": [ 1.356, 1.657273, 2.021524, 2.655376 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 1.01, "volume": 218254, "typical_volume": 208097.5, "trend": 3.442333, "fair_value": 7.086475, "relative_strength": -79.739552, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.583612, "energy": 90.13313, "activity_lines": [ 1.175333, 1.506727, 1.877381, 2.488366 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 4.5, "volume": 204769161, "typical_volume": 10435489.3, "trend": 3.400333, "fair_value": 7.068, "relative_strength": -10.338148, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.724038, "energy": 13.911295, "activity_lines": [ 2.229333, 2.012909, 2.084381, 2.556602 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 5.97, "volume": 14685228, "typical_volume": 11160379.85, "trend": 3.377333, "fair_value": 7.060213, "relative_strength": 17.947981, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.967385, "energy": 47.76184, "activity_lines": [ 3.613333, 2.741273, 2.431429, 2.722387 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 5.67, "volume": 8131674, "typical_volume": 11552989.7, "trend": 3.367, "fair_value": 7.050423, "relative_strength": 13.307757, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 42.494964, "energy": 52.177817, "activity_lines": [ 4.594, 3.344727, 2.740714, 2.870301 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 5.49, "volume": 3738699, "typical_volume": 11728013.6, "trend": 3.332333, "fair_value": 7.03951, "relative_strength": 10.949656, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.600839, "energy": 54.222709, "activity_lines": [ 5.203333, 3.847091, 3.022714, 3.007269 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 4.35, "volume": 4841906, "typical_volume": 11963262.7, "trend": 3.277333, "fair_value": 7.020833, "relative_strength": -13.606605, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.191169, "energy": 66.973031, "activity_lines": [ 5.144, 4.085273, 3.185, 3.072925 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 4.56, "volume": 731358, "typical_volume": 11988621.95, "trend": 3.249333, "fair_value": 7.003862, "relative_strength": -9.697862, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.204566, "energy": 42.162819, "activity_lines": [ 4.932, 4.320364, 3.359238, 3.155677 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 3.45, "volume": 889118, "typical_volume": 12026919.8, "trend": 3.173, "fair_value": 6.979521, "relative_strength": -30.029748, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.695957, "energy": 26.032338, "activity_lines": [ 4.346, 4.308909, 3.418476, 3.168624 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 3.86, "volume": 1169819, "typical_volume": 12078550.3, "trend": 3.129667, "fair_value": 6.958299, "relative_strength": -20.535008, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.675302, "energy": 20.622962, "activity_lines": [ 4.064667, 4.335091, 3.511429, 3.212946 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 4.23, "volume": 1367305, "typical_volume": 12139416.85, "trend": 3.118667, "fair_value": 6.939865, "relative_strength": -12.472301, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.713694, "energy": 19.595346, "activity_lines": [ 4.027333, 4.376545, 3.63219, 3.283935 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 3.25, "volume": 892256, "typical_volume": 12176128.5, "trend": 3.062, "fair_value": 6.915101, "relative_strength": -29.751011, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.34301, "energy": 19.084802, "activity_lines": [ 3.747333, 4.184, 3.649, 3.292409 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 3.28, "volume": 418429, "typical_volume": 12188722.3, "trend": 3.021, "fair_value": 6.890867, "relative_strength": -29.514833, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.201081, "energy": 16.056598, "activity_lines": [ 3.550667, 3.956182, 3.66381, 3.306473 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 3.55, "volume": 684033, "typical_volume": 12218102.25, "trend": 3.004667, "fair_value": 6.868742, "relative_strength": -23.105326, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.259939, "energy": 14.52876, "activity_lines": [ 3.529333, 3.799636, 3.698333, 3.340602 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 4.06, "volume": 522645, "typical_volume": 12234844.2, "trend": 3.022, "fair_value": 6.850263, "relative_strength": -10.99136, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.725943, "energy": 15.527524, "activity_lines": [ 3.671333, 3.779818, 3.774524, 3.408688 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 3.85, "volume": 599715, "typical_volume": 12254405.9, "trend": 3.045333, "fair_value": 6.830654, "relative_strength": -14.195643, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.521606, "energy": 9.705684, "activity_lines": [ 3.73, 3.751091, 3.820476, 3.462108 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 3.54, "volume": 218558, "typical_volume": 12259894.45, "trend": 3.074667, "fair_value": 6.809286, "relative_strength": -20.318689, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.371534, "energy": 13.941428, "activity_lines": [ 3.710667, 3.695818, 3.82981, 3.494022 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 4.84, "volume": 2019127, "typical_volume": 12345855.3, "trend": 3.149, "fair_value": 6.796581, "relative_strength": 8.880288, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.719961, "energy": 38.744033, "activity_lines": [ 4.105333, 3.891636, 3.956, 3.607914 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 5.26, "volume": 2280931, "typical_volume": 12446441.6, "trend": 3.246667, "fair_value": 6.786731, "relative_strength": 17.927394, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.522094, "energy": 61.741768, "activity_lines": [ 4.536, 4.158727, 4.109143, 3.744108 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 4.7, "volume": 375244, "typical_volume": 12449916.75, "trend": 3.326667, "fair_value": 6.770833, "relative_strength": 6.86328, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.23193, "energy": 62.243796, "activity_lines": [ 4.666, 4.291091, 4.190667, 3.837871 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 5.31, "volume": 420103, "typical_volume": 12448678.15, "trend": 3.437, "fair_value": 6.744295, "relative_strength": 20.246488, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.962159, "energy": 71.152812, "activity_lines": [ 4.956667, 4.519091, 4.312667, 3.965828 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 4.49, "volume": 436659, "typical_volume": 12459598.4, "trend": 3.512333, "fair_value": 6.725385, "relative_strength": 5.412006, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.741565, "energy": 58.331943, "activity_lines": [ 4.876667, 4.578364, 4.33681, 4.033763 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 5.17, "volume": 362072, "typical_volume": 2239243.95, "trend": 3.617333, "fair_value": 6.709231, "relative_strength": 20.452293, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.699304, "energy": 47.14624, "activity_lines": [ 4.96, 4.738727, 4.409143, 4.14071 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 5.85, "volume": 479409, "typical_volume": 1528953.0, "trend": 3.742333, "fair_value": 6.695449, "relative_strength": 34.236636, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.691912, "energy": 58.265183, "activity_lines": [ 5.248, 4.988364, 4.543048, 4.284753 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 5.48, "volume": 313595, "typical_volume": 1138049.05, "trend": 3.861333, "fair_value": 6.685321, "relative_strength": 25.676396, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.904018, "energy": 51.564539, "activity_lines": [ 5.373333, 5.128909, 4.642286, 4.39686 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 4.71, "volume": 335737, "typical_volume": 967900.95, "trend": 3.939667, "fair_value": 6.673526, "relative_strength": 11.224339, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.75329, "energy": 39.215724, "activity_lines": [ 5.19, 5.103636, 4.669095, 4.451613 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 4.58, "volume": 275891, "typical_volume": 739600.2, "trend": 4.023, "fair_value": 6.666026, "relative_strength": 9.169697, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.469679, "energy": 28.077918, "activity_lines": [ 5.003333, 5.039091, 4.687238, 4.492925 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 4.02, "volume": 317327, "typical_volume": 718898.65, "trend": 4.087, "fair_value": 6.654615, "relative_strength": -0.775374, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.306438, "energy": 13.885886, "activity_lines": [ 4.624, 4.853818, 4.650952, 4.492731 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 4.26, "volume": 183372, "typical_volume": 683611.35, "trend": 4.181667, "fair_value": 6.637821, "relative_strength": 2.634744, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.191398, "energy": 19.676592, "activity_lines": [ 4.401333, 4.727091, 4.640095, 4.503892 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 4.19, "volume": 289964, "typical_volume": 639618.6, "trend": 4.288, "fair_value": 6.6275, "relative_strength": 1.535961, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.3859, "energy": 18.842806, "activity_lines": [ 4.261333, 4.605818, 4.618714, 4.50443 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 4.94, "volume": 369348, "typical_volume": 589720.75, "trend": 4.414, "fair_value": 6.625192, "relative_strength": 21.319145, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.743514, "energy": 16.094776, "activity_lines": [ 4.457333, 4.630182, 4.66719, 4.546495 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 4.79, "volume": 397115, "typical_volume": 564963.7, "trend": 4.54, "fair_value": 6.62391, "relative_strength": 18.173683, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.266622, "energy": 8.940483, "activity_lines": [ 4.588, 4.634, 4.698, 4.570753 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 4.59, "volume": 158744, "typical_volume": 551979.45, "trend": 4.543, "fair_value": 6.622244, "relative_strength": 12.044537, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.267973, "energy": 12.86917, "activity_lines": [ 4.638, 4.596, 4.702429, 4.573978 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 4.55, "volume": 121279, "typical_volume": 523841.75, "trend": 4.495667, "fair_value": 6.618013, "relative_strength": 12.887379, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.693429, "energy": 15.594891, "activity_lines": [ 4.636667, 4.561273, 4.69681, 4.57443 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 3.0, "volume": 435290, "typical_volume": 519474.0, "trend": 4.406667, "fair_value": 6.603846, "relative_strength": -25.882937, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.513808, "energy": 36.324628, "activity_lines": [ 4.099333, 4.268364, 4.53881, 4.477935 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 2.73, "volume": 440143, "typical_volume": 511495.4, "trend": 4.314667, "fair_value": 6.588718, "relative_strength": -31.666628, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -49.615695, "energy": 62.788234, "activity_lines": [ 3.551333, 3.971455, 4.360143, 4.369763 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 2.67, "volume": 386807, "typical_volume": 519907.85, "trend": 4.258667, "fair_value": 6.566731, "relative_strength": -32.479426, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -49.240768, "energy": 71.72176, "activity_lines": [ 3.130667, 3.699636, 4.181095, 4.263656 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 2.34, "volume": 262186, "typical_volume": 432060.8, "trend": 4.184667, "fair_value": 6.538782, "relative_strength": -40.678456, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.34477, "energy": 87.755879, "activity_lines": [ 2.741333, 3.402545, 3.974762, 4.139871 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 2.67, "volume": 2213150, "typical_volume": 428671.75, "trend": 4.158667, "fair_value": 6.507115, "relative_strength": -32.039653, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.822696, "energy": 83.090807, "activity_lines": [ 2.612, 3.196, 3.811762, 4.042151 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 2.68, "volume": 387649, "typical_volume": 429292.0, "trend": 4.119333, "fair_value": 6.47609, "relative_strength": -30.804068, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.619877, "energy": 78.367095, "activity_lines": [ 2.611333, 3.020182, 3.662048, 3.946753 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 2.21, "volume": 497317, "typical_volume": 433152.7, "trend": 4.052, "fair_value": 6.443654, "relative_strength": -43.436254, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.110564, "energy": 76.097648, "activity_lines": [ 2.475333, 2.786364, 3.47719, 3.82357 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 1.68, "volume": 2411463, "typical_volume": 531892.9, "trend": 3.999667, "fair_value": 6.409423, "relative_strength": -56.569463, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.107486, "energy": 66.827062, "activity_lines": [ 2.197333, 2.505818, 3.256619, 3.670538 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 1.77, "volume": 1851413, "typical_volume": 606359.95, "trend": 3.949333, "fair_value": 6.377372, "relative_strength": -53.175959, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.92226, "energy": 64.244725, "activity_lines": [ 2.015333, 2.298182, 3.058, 3.526688 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 1.75, "volume": 2050977, "typical_volume": 684938.35, "trend": 3.889333, "fair_value": 6.344295, "relative_strength": -52.779046, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.826345, "energy": 74.824555, "activity_lines": [ 1.864667, 2.138182, 2.873667, 3.384796 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 1.22, "volume": 2985483, "typical_volume": 818532.75, "trend": 3.794667, "fair_value": 6.310385, "relative_strength": -66.275432, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.365693, "energy": 80.237621, "activity_lines": [ 1.598667, 1.932727, 2.658381, 3.212581 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 1.37, "volume": 1310343, "typical_volume": 867263.05, "trend": 3.712, "fair_value": 6.277821, "relative_strength": -61.040898, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.046146, "energy": 73.354567, "activity_lines": [ 1.48, 1.786909, 2.477667, 3.056151 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 1.66, "volume": 858633, "typical_volume": 896400.15, "trend": 3.649333, "fair_value": 6.247115, "relative_strength": -54.153452, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.086011, "energy": 58.96264, "activity_lines": [ 1.514, 1.718545, 2.340476, 2.923763 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 1.66, "volume": 569707, "typical_volume": 909019.15, "trend": 3.543333, "fair_value": 6.21609, "relative_strength": -55.433131, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.973564, "energy": 59.79459, "activity_lines": [ 1.549333, 1.668545, 2.21719, 2.795419 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 2.02, "volume": 872490, "typical_volume": 943475.05, "trend": 3.435333, "fair_value": 6.182244, "relative_strength": -47.90043, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.955865, "energy": 44.984513, "activity_lines": [ 1.712, 1.696364, 2.139429, 2.69714 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 2.04, "volume": 710671, "typical_volume": 964510.4, "trend": 3.346667, "fair_value": 6.145641, "relative_strength": -47.47963, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.432686, "energy": 35.144272, "activity_lines": [ 1.863333, 1.739636, 2.074238, 2.607118 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 1.78, "volume": 326088, "typical_volume": 962347.4, "trend": 3.229, "fair_value": 6.107885, "relative_strength": -54.589789, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.35338, "energy": 31.144669, "activity_lines": [ 1.873333, 1.747273, 1.994524, 2.506043 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 1.65, "volume": 715694, "typical_volume": 978276.35, "trend": 3.134333, "fair_value": 6.072821, "relative_strength": -58.939237, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.845517, "energy": 33.139282, "activity_lines": [ 1.812667, 1.739091, 1.917476, 2.404172 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 1.42, "volume": 590762, "typical_volume": 999877.25, "trend": 3.009333, "fair_value": 6.037115, "relative_strength": -64.730294, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.307352, "energy": 46.291716, "activity_lines": [ 1.676, 1.689636, 1.833476, 2.29357 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 1.39, "volume": 675259, "typical_volume": 1027576.25, "trend": 2.860667, "fair_value": 5.992821, "relative_strength": -65.787095, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.308262, "energy": 52.598931, "activity_lines": [ 1.545333, 1.641091, 1.761714, 2.189097 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 1.41, "volume": 805935, "typical_volume": 1046108.5, "trend": 2.725, "fair_value": 5.943333, "relative_strength": -65.069857, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.256959, "energy": 66.186512, "activity_lines": [ 1.463333, 1.602727, 1.706905, 2.095505 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 1.2, "volume": 520749, "typical_volume": 1050138.8, "trend": 2.608, "fair_value": 5.886603, "relative_strength": -68.551335, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.31926, "energy": 76.032278, "activity_lines": [ 1.353333, 1.522727, 1.639667, 1.997118 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 1.19, "volume": 480312, "typical_volume": 1054814.05, "trend": 2.495, "fair_value": 5.830128, "relative_strength": -68.039324, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.438511, "energy": 77.974818, "activity_lines": [ 1.278667, 1.444, 1.578762, 1.905634 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 1.13, "volume": 421474, "typical_volume": 1062778.45, "trend": 2.398667, "fair_value": 5.765128, "relative_strength": -69.003142, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.322414, "energy": 79.280356, "activity_lines": [ 1.214667, 1.362909, 1.51919, 1.81757 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 1.38, "volume": 4647056, "typical_volume": 1184473.75, "trend": 2.302667, "fair_value": 5.698269, "relative_strength": -60.403372, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.024333, "energy": 52.711471, "activity_lines": [ 1.253333, 1.336909, 1.48919, 1.751849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 1.05, "volume": 1336872, "typical_volume": 1231934.9, "trend": 2.198, "fair_value": 5.63, "relative_strength": -69.786174, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.654543, "energy": 54.611521, "activity_lines": [ 1.182667, 1.262545, 1.433905, 1.671032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.6955, "volume": 2281452, "typical_volume": 1321141.65, "trend": 2.056517, "fair_value": 5.557279, "relative_strength": -79.868901, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.115532, "energy": 60.47261, "activity_lines": [ 1.017833, 1.141727, 1.352619, 1.574097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.6944, "volume": 7563571, "typical_volume": 1578747.05, "trend": 1.919997, "fair_value": 5.497307, "relative_strength": -79.121814, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.857088, "energy": 62.640403, "activity_lines": [ 0.886267, 1.040427, 1.27844, 1.486218 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.46, "volume": 107169996, "typical_volume": 6844676.2, "trend": 1.815663, "fair_value": 5.431602, "relative_strength": -54.926252, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.989231, "energy": 45.425468, "activity_lines": [ 1.04294, 1.095702, 1.28187, 1.456541 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.81, "volume": 122457160, "typical_volume": 12864985.35, "trend": 1.72433, "fair_value": 5.369551, "relative_strength": -44.023907, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.701752, "energy": 14.798768, "activity_lines": [ 1.29428, 1.213885, 1.320108, 1.456176 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.08, "volume": 5493771, "typical_volume": 12990399.75, "trend": 1.66033, "fair_value": 5.299551, "relative_strength": -67.177593, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.741434, "energy": 17.86775, "activity_lines": [ 1.27362, 1.191705, 1.288537, 1.414606 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }