{ "ticker": { "uuid": "35506679-2dbd-48a0-a290-786c8dae9a28", "symbol": "688255", "name": "Hangzhou Kaierda Welding Robot Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.363, "architecture_energy": 63.989, "architecture_maturity": 17.943, "architecture_confidence": 83.478, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.46, "rotation_up": 12.94, "upward_expansion": 15.94, "deceleration": 35.6, "rotation_down": 68.96, "downward_expansion": 86.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.680667, 26.099169, 27.985465, 28.767036 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 26.620001, "trend_reference": 30.39828, "distance_from_trend": -0.124293, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 28.27399, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.058499, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.821444, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.225487, "excess_performance": -0.182283, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.124293, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066013, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.058499, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.19463, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.178214, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044418, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.225487, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.096212, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20481974, "relative_activity": 1.490954, "balance": 1.096212, "dry_up": 1.662387, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.146845, "annualized_volatility": 0.597129, "from_high_reference": -0.378037, "from_low_reference": 0.218865 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.39828, "fair_value_reference": 28.27399, "structural_low": 21.84, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.036271, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.004728, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.466097, "worst_return": -0.270824, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.005634, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.021631, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.205577, "worst_return": -0.117521, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.580861, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.500601, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.296337, "worst_return": -0.134615, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 12540083.5, "trend": 31.114947, "fair_value": 28.316665, "relative_strength": -30.266094, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.44999, "energy": 72.114263, "activity_lines": [ 24.961333, 27.116582, 28.642402, 29.478448 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.200001, "volume": 19408688, "typical_volume": 13081801.55, "trend": 30.731947, "fair_value": 28.283819, "relative_strength": -23.614204, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.200724, "energy": 72.546549, "activity_lines": [ 24.334, 26.300386, 28.18579, 29.032322 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.620001, "volume": 20481974, "typical_volume": 13737496.75, "trend": 30.39828, "fair_value": 28.27399, "relative_strength": -17.821444, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.362802, "energy": 63.988602, "activity_lines": [ 24.680667, 26.099169, 27.985465, 28.767036 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }