{ "ticker": { "uuid": "35594aab-b20a-45bd-be4b-fad1680118d9", "symbol": "SEB-A", "name": "Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.373, "architecture_energy": 94.011, "architecture_maturity": 33.445, "architecture_confidence": 78.453, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 87.85, "upward_expansion": 99.99, "deceleration": 39.0, "rotation_down": 8.04, "downward_expansion": 21.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 220.100001, 211.080909, 200.056904, 193.835676 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 224.199997, "trend_reference": 187.920275, "distance_from_trend": 0.193059, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 147.718535, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.517751, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.937643, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.21101, "excess_performance": 0.149516, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.193059, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049302, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.517751, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.218203, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.099376, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.137572, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.21101, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.837261, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11588823, "relative_activity": 1.143552, "balance": 4.837261, "dry_up": 1.231568, "accumulation_observations": 7, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031514, "annualized_volatility": 0.201253, "from_high_reference": -0.016667, "from_low_reference": 0.379916 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 187.920275, "fair_value_reference": 147.718535, "structural_low": 162.567548, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": 0.024093, "positive_rate": 0.710526, "directional_follow_through": 0.710526, "median_excess_return": 0.01831, "regime_survival": 0.815789, "best_return": 0.116921, "worst_return": -0.166603, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.047144, "positive_rate": 0.846154, "directional_follow_through": 0.846154, "median_excess_return": 0.019251, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.16877, "worst_return": -0.026741, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.169516, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.126695, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.209453, "worst_return": -0.028739, "sufficient": true }, { 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183.45216 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 200.899994, "volume": 11275453, "typical_volume": 10611461.4, "trend": 182.982488, "fair_value": 144.696601, "relative_strength": 3.48331, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.473647, "energy": 88.481018, "activity_lines": [ 196.276663, 192.205452, 186.877973, 184.657671 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 215.300003, "volume": 16002979, "typical_volume": 10665876.8, "trend": 184.130315, "fair_value": 145.427946, "relative_strength": 11.737014, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 95.525185, "energy": 96.45598, "activity_lines": [ 203.209999, 197.002725, 189.985929, 186.742672 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 218.600006, "volume": 11985512, "typical_volume": 10362464.0, "trend": 185.388142, "fair_value": 146.167738, "relative_strength": 11.341093, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.267682, "energy": 97.005061, "activity_lines": [ 209.483334, 201.776363, 193.244418, 188.966523 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 223.300003, "volume": 10345836, "typical_volume": 10310811.9, "trend": 186.639991, "fair_value": 146.945438, "relative_strength": 11.860109, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.857399, "energy": 96.488986, "activity_lines": [ 215.720002, 206.677273, 196.730846, 191.412449 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 224.199997, "volume": 11588823, "typical_volume": 10134059.6, "trend": 187.920275, "fair_value": 147.718535, "relative_strength": 9.937643, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.372761, "energy": 94.011464, "activity_lines": [ 220.100001, 211.080909, 200.056904, 193.835676 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }