{ "ticker": { "uuid": "355f322b-5d90-458b-ac8c-ab38f9435ea0", "symbol": "GOCLCORP", "name": "GOCL Corporation Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.101, "architecture_energy": 52.512, "architecture_maturity": 55.351, "architecture_confidence": 64.181, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.51, "rotation_up": 43.11, "upward_expansion": 74.56, "deceleration": 75.72, "rotation_down": 27.71, "downward_expansion": 8.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 413.639998, 411.306362, 388.392381, 360.577527 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 438.25, "trend_reference": 326.601666, "distance_from_trend": 0.341849, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 379.556327, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.154638, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 33.5663, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.648486, "excess_performance": 0.692195, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.341849, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.12276, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.154638, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.273782, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.335663, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.26302, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.648486, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.658243, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2166880, "relative_activity": 1.698868, "balance": 6.658243, "dry_up": 0.560706, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080267, "annualized_volatility": 0.458526, "from_high_reference": -0.025353, "from_low_reference": 0.962167 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 326.601666, "fair_value_reference": 379.556327, "structural_low": 223.350006, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.038747, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.078649, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.094874, "worst_return": -0.198409, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.195958, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": -0.197972, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.095126, "worst_return": -0.248274, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.164467, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.179649, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.403404, "worst_return": -0.359094, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.104234, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.177549, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.015545, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.04786, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.202895, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", 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"relative_strength": 26.084804, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.921345, "energy": 45.921213, "activity_lines": [ 402.149996, 403.987271, 374.444047, 347.561505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 402.5, "volume": 254328, "typical_volume": 1183996.35, "trend": 321.331666, "fair_value": 379.288564, "relative_strength": 24.336022, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.344479, "energy": 42.179404, "activity_lines": [ 401.726664, 405.069998, 380.113095, 353.034408 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 438.25, "volume": 2166880, "typical_volume": 1275484.95, "trend": 326.601666, "fair_value": 379.556327, "relative_strength": 33.5663, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.10087, "energy": 52.512366, "activity_lines": [ 413.639998, 411.306362, 388.392381, 360.577527 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }