{ "ticker": { "uuid": "356055f9-831a-4ca8-9146-06425733b6ab", "symbol": "SKL", "name": "Skillcast Group plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.382, "architecture_energy": 48.306, "architecture_maturity": 68.989, "architecture_confidence": 92.94, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.75, "rotation_up": 26.03, "upward_expansion": 6.74, "deceleration": 58.05, "rotation_down": 51.79, "downward_expansion": 80.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.444667, 0.451405, 0.454511, 0.482756 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.44, "trend_reference": 0.539379, "distance_from_trend": -0.184247, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.425903, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.0331, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -29.402411, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.395871, "excess_performance": -0.447106, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.184247, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10961, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.0331, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004244, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.294024, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024034, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.395871, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.55786, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15409, "relative_activity": 0.292131, "balance": 0.55786, "dry_up": 1.294545, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07001, "annualized_volatility": 0.284082, "from_high_reference": -0.444956, "from_low_reference": 0.110088 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.539379, "fair_value_reference": 0.425903, "structural_low": 0.396365, 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"fair_value": 0.422727, "relative_strength": -27.645652, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.2226, "energy": 40.725777, "activity_lines": [ 0.454382, 0.456841, 0.461381, 0.497354 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.44, "volume": 121898, "typical_volume": 52924.65, "trend": 0.549155, "fair_value": 0.424315, "relative_strength": -29.684397, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.837346, "energy": 45.085578, "activity_lines": [ 0.448667, 0.454115, 0.457625, 0.489798 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.44, "volume": 15409, "typical_volume": 52746.9, "trend": 0.539379, "fair_value": 0.425903, "relative_strength": -29.402411, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.381858, "energy": 48.305849, "activity_lines": [ 0.444667, 0.451405, 0.454511, 0.482756 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }