{ "ticker": { "uuid": "35623fe7-9ab1-4ab5-b0f3-b352037b9c0d", "symbol": "AJOONI", "name": "Ajooni Biotech Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -34.819, "architecture_energy": 22.901, "architecture_maturity": 92.365, "architecture_confidence": 78.276, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.02, "rotation_up": 34.08, "upward_expansion": 20.25, "deceleration": 44.1, "rotation_down": 26.96, "downward_expansion": 56.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.96, 3.906, 3.966048, 4.047548 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.86, "trend_reference": 4.146, "distance_from_trend": -0.068982, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.565185, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.306402, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.125025, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.217039, "excess_performance": -0.173329, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.068982, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05436, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.306402, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079119, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.13125, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035838, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.217039, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.594278, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 990883, "relative_activity": 0.723495, "balance": 0.594278, "dry_up": 1.500953, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068553, "annualized_volatility": 0.341203, "from_high_reference": -0.350168, "from_low_reference": 0.087324 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.146, "fair_value_reference": 5.565185, "structural_low": 3.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": -0.034203, "positive_rate": 0.382353, "directional_follow_through": 0.617647, "median_excess_return": -0.032407, "regime_survival": 0.911765, "best_return": 0.272728, "worst_return": -0.291818, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.096774, "positive_rate": 0.181818, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": -0.114018, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 0.130952, "worst_return": -0.317241, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.252549, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.349956, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.021505, "worst_return": -0.358621, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-12-08", "end": "2024-03-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.268041, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-03-08", "end": "2024-05-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.278377, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2024-06-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.136434, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-21", "end": "2024-07-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.224206, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-07-26", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.129944, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": 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"activity_lines": [ 3.947333, 3.898545, 3.988095, 4.077591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.0, "volume": 1127710, "typical_volume": 1428849.55, "trend": 4.157333, "fair_value": 5.563614, "relative_strength": -9.862897, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.511067, "energy": 20.251402, "activity_lines": [ 3.987333, 3.913818, 3.983381, 4.066731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.86, "volume": 990883, "typical_volume": 1369577.95, "trend": 4.146, "fair_value": 5.565185, "relative_strength": -13.125025, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.818729, "energy": 22.901382, "activity_lines": [ 3.96, 3.906, 3.966048, 4.047548 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }