{ "ticker": { "uuid": "357f87de-a98e-43ec-b062-93861b685e29", "symbol": "RTPT", "name": "Ratio Petroleum Energy - Limited Partnership", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 77.689, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 2.278, "architecture_energy": 13.909, "architecture_maturity": 51.956, "architecture_confidence": 75.041, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.96, "rotation_up": 17.91, "upward_expansion": 43.57, "deceleration": 82.6, "rotation_down": 37.48, "downward_expansion": 32.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.378333, 0.3916, 0.398176, 0.383153 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.366, "trend_reference": 0.357767, "distance_from_trend": 0.023013, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.260455, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.405232, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.985463, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.262069, "excess_performance": 0.233169, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.023013, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.139263, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.405232, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.259371, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.059855, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043503, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.262069, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.510296, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 636382, "relative_activity": 0.418257, "balance": 0.510296, "dry_up": 0.742566, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108029, "annualized_volatility": 0.421603, "from_high_reference": -0.214592, "from_low_reference": 0.531381 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.357767, "fair_value_reference": 0.260455, "structural_low": 0.245, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.04142, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.00994, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.64, "worst_return": -0.086486, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.050167, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.036006, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.551351, "worst_return": 0.041812, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.299747, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.074355, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.616216, "worst_return": -0.016722, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 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13.695484, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.556362, "energy": 24.360136, "activity_lines": [ 0.404067, 0.408073, 0.400267, 0.377761 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.407, "volume": 1240351, "typical_volume": 1821342.0, "trend": 0.351033, "fair_value": 0.259596, "relative_strength": 15.183238, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.410728, "energy": 23.084727, "activity_lines": [ 0.404267, 0.407291, 0.402695, 0.381701 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.362, "volume": 924203, "typical_volume": 1612671.5, "trend": 0.354467, "fair_value": 0.260006, "relative_strength": 5.158684, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.312814, "energy": 11.505867, "activity_lines": [ 0.389267, 0.398545, 0.400338, 0.382409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.366, "volume": 636382, "typical_volume": 1521511.0, "trend": 0.357767, "fair_value": 0.260455, "relative_strength": 5.985463, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.278327, "energy": 13.909118, "activity_lines": [ 0.378333, 0.3916, 0.398176, 0.383153 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }