{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3589cc21-0154-4710-bbcd-6b2e62c392d4",
    "symbol": "TFIN",
    "name": "Triumph Financial, Inc.",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 56.958,
    "architecture_energy": 41.959,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.953,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.722,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.49,
        "rotation_up": 45.43,
        "upward_expansion": 77.15,
        "deceleration": 69.1,
        "rotation_down": 25.66,
        "downward_expansion": 6.15
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        76.944,
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        73.687333,
        70.563183
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 76.01,
    "trend_reference": 67.546667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.125296,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 69.927179,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.086988,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.506904,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.112233,
    "excess_performance": -0.013392,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.125296,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088889,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086988,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.122321,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075069,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081167,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.112233,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.167622,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1063861,
      "relative_activity": 0.824071,
      "balance": 2.167622,
      "dry_up": 1.152399,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.074455,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.376791,
      "from_high_reference": -0.089919,
      "from_low_reference": 0.637088
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 67.546667,
      "fair_value_reference": 69.927179,
      "structural_low": 53.48,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": -0.003423,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01769,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
        "best_return": 0.185302,
        "worst_return": -0.146133,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002538,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.142664,
        "worst_return": -0.197975,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.119956,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.024474,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.295349,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.499163,
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 14.125334,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 1257644.1,
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        "fair_value": 69.716795,
        "relative_strength": 14.69689,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.346997,
        "energy": 68.961574,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 80.61,
        "volume": 2106037,
        "typical_volume": 1285687.95,
        "trend": 66.472,
        "fair_value": 69.810897,
        "relative_strength": 19.360642,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.82357,
        "energy": 78.495012,
        "activity_lines": [
          78.235333,
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          71.414905,
          68.746581
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 76.91,
        "volume": 1732207,
        "typical_volume": 1309688.15,
        "trend": 66.901,
        "fair_value": 69.845192,
        "relative_strength": 14.457969,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.109195,
        "energy": 64.912489,
        "activity_lines": [
          78.209333,
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          72.321333,
          69.42
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 75.93,
        "volume": 1048805,
        "typical_volume": 1315129.75,
        "trend": 67.319667,
        "fair_value": 69.885897,
        "relative_strength": 11.477072,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.162399,
        "energy": 49.56091,
        "activity_lines": [
          77.534,
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          73.049286,
          70.002516
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 76.01,
        "volume": 1063861,
        "typical_volume": 1290982.55,
        "trend": 67.546667,
        "fair_value": 69.927179,
        "relative_strength": 7.506904,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.957719,
        "energy": 41.959365,
        "activity_lines": [
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          70.563183
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}