{ "ticker": { "uuid": "35904584-d871-4676-8995-bc2ca4814382", "symbol": "300194", "name": "Fuan Pharmaceutical (Group) Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -34.565, "architecture_energy": 22.093, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 70.993, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.38, "rotation_up": 29.39, "upward_expansion": 19.6, "deceleration": 46.98, "rotation_down": 23.43, "downward_expansion": 55.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.722667, 3.660364, 3.729002, 3.835819 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.82, "trend_reference": 3.999883, "distance_from_trend": -0.044972, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.126574, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.074293, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.576423, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.137996, "excess_performance": -0.145396, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.044972, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067644, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.074293, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058832, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.125764, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115181, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.137996, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.912668, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 99432926, "relative_activity": 1.611744, "balance": 0.912668, "dry_up": 1.658452, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054427, "annualized_volatility": 0.221851, "from_high_reference": -0.290476, "from_low_reference": 0.143713 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.999883, "fair_value_reference": 4.126574, "structural_low": 3.34, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.002445, "positive_rate": 0.52381, "directional_follow_through": 0.380952, "median_excess_return": 0.026918, "regime_survival": 0.761905, "best_return": 0.22488, "worst_return": -0.084937, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.070093, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.060375, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.111717, "worst_return": -0.14104, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.073048, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.131349, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.103715, "worst_return": -0.058674, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 59113540.55, "trend": 4.076647, "fair_value": 4.127177, "relative_strength": -12.573994, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.327715, "energy": 50.527878, "activity_lines": [ 3.622667, 3.631386, 3.773596, 3.901408 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.59, "volume": 92979166, "typical_volume": 59605486.0, "trend": 4.041687, "fair_value": 4.126228, "relative_strength": -16.15359, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.6951, "energy": 36.727461, "activity_lines": [ 3.629333, 3.61489, 3.744712, 3.870011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.71, "volume": 69578841, "typical_volume": 59911320.9, "trend": 4.018293, "fair_value": 4.125987, "relative_strength": -11.371417, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.657176, "energy": 28.190753, "activity_lines": [ 3.67, 3.626182, 3.730418, 3.848612 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.82, "volume": 99432926, "typical_volume": 61692771.5, "trend": 3.999883, "fair_value": 4.126574, "relative_strength": -12.576423, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.564943, "energy": 22.093083, "activity_lines": [ 3.722667, 3.660364, 3.729002, 3.835819 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }