{ "ticker": { "uuid": "35936269-7da5-45dc-b5ae-03e9e183f711", "symbol": "SDR", "name": "Schroders plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 87.773, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.404, "architecture_energy": 43.996, "architecture_maturity": 65.739, "architecture_confidence": 95.471, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.05, "rotation_up": 39.43, "upward_expansion": 66.41, "deceleration": 97.17, "rotation_down": 29.84, "downward_expansion": 9.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 582.143633, 582.1398, 582.0798, 578.731537 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 584.0, "trend_reference": 564.664633, "distance_from_trend": 0.034242, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 409.93551, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.424614, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 10.692592, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.278226, "excess_performance": 0.226991, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.034242, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.124418, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.424614, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031376, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.106926, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.153252, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.278226, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.89712, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25032491, "relative_activity": 1.980997, "balance": 2.89712, "dry_up": 1.096383, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.006964, "annualized_volatility": 0.346455, "from_high_reference": -0.025606, "from_low_reference": 0.628972 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 564.664633, "fair_value_reference": 409.93551, "structural_low": 451.084613, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.015128, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.004483, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.099794, "worst_return": -0.059097, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.005114, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.01839, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.483739, "worst_return": -0.049748, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.099794, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.008159, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.469396, "worst_return": -0.152759, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"typical_volume": 12636306.3, "trend": 564.664633, "fair_value": 409.93551, "relative_strength": 10.692592, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.404133, "energy": 43.995856, "activity_lines": [ 582.143633, 582.1398, 582.0798, 578.731537 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }