{ "ticker": { "uuid": "35966272-6087-4eeb-8320-b20b27fcce70", "symbol": "BTP", "name": "Baker Technology Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.552, "architecture_energy": 41.056, "architecture_maturity": 32.776, "architecture_confidence": 81.881, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.71, "rotation_up": 16.59, "upward_expansion": 4.85, "deceleration": 59.16, "rotation_down": 58.15, "downward_expansion": 78.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.451, 0.456, 0.46968, 0.476984 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.455, "trend_reference": 0.488788, "distance_from_trend": -0.069126, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.522941, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.129921, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.798402, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.114681, "excess_performance": -0.269516, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.069126, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027024, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.129921, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058659, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.237984, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098271, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.114681, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.902293, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 197000, "relative_activity": 2.276799, "balance": 2.902293, "dry_up": 0.933834, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064243, "annualized_volatility": 0.216002, "from_high_reference": -0.191002, "from_low_reference": 0.3 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.488788, "fair_value_reference": 0.522941, "structural_low": 0.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.004274, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.458333, "median_excess_return": -0.020204, "regime_survival": 0.791667, "best_return": 0.101853, "worst_return": -0.08108, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.05993, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.18448, "worst_return": -0.094017, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.05815, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.133448, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.093706, "worst_return": -0.146874, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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0.485281, 0.490964 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.455, "volume": 4300, "typical_volume": 101305.0, "trend": 0.495858, "fair_value": 0.525225, "relative_strength": -23.438498, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.43483, "energy": 74.802341, "activity_lines": [ 0.462, 0.474455, 0.482017, 0.488243 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.45, "volume": 13000, "typical_volume": 93445.0, "trend": 0.494374, "fair_value": 0.524661, "relative_strength": -24.203959, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.551178, "energy": 82.764375, "activity_lines": [ 0.455, 0.468636, 0.478556, 0.485285 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.445, "volume": 85700, "typical_volume": 88780.0, "trend": 0.492884, "fair_value": 0.523978, "relative_strength": -25.361599, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.42192, "energy": 81.902147, "activity_lines": [ 0.448667, 0.462636, 0.474901, 0.482099 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.45, "volume": 27500, "typical_volume": 82225.0, "trend": 0.491399, "fair_value": 0.523356, "relative_strength": -24.353178, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.942036, "energy": 64.116468, "activity_lines": [ 0.448, 0.458455, 0.471958, 0.479333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.455, "volume": 197000, "typical_volume": 86525.0, "trend": 0.488788, "fair_value": 0.522941, "relative_strength": -23.798402, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.55208, "energy": 41.055931, "activity_lines": [ 0.451, 0.456, 0.46968, 0.476984 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }