{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "359eb2f9-f6d1-4dce-8fe1-7267e8b4dc2e",
    "symbol": "CBUS5",
    "name": "UBS BBG US Liquid Corp 1-5 UCITS ETF USD dis",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 66.361,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 44.837,
    "architecture_energy": 35.233,
    "architecture_maturity": 73.653,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.959,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.49,
        "rotation_up": 33.16,
        "upward_expansion": 66.38,
        "deceleration": 88.29,
        "rotation_down": 27.62,
        "downward_expansion": 18.71
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        12.056533,
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 12.008,
    "trend_reference": 11.910836,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.008158,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 11.689106,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.027281,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -13.125328,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.024723,
    "excess_performance": -0.146168,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008158,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008161,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027281,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011664,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.131253,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.012867,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024723,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.521979,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2755,
      "relative_activity": 0.311756,
      "balance": 0.521979,
      "dry_up": 0.628603,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.006009,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.047842,
      "from_high_reference": -0.01493,
      "from_low_reference": 0.042109
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.910836,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.689106,
      "structural_low": 11.63,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
        "median_return": 0.000628,
        "positive_rate": 0.513514,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.513514,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015307,
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        "best_return": 0.022559,
        "worst_return": -0.036402,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "worst_return": -0.039909,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.084426,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -10.191984,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": -12.303652,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "energy": 94.769273,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -12.470264,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 91.212905,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 9976.5,
        "trend": 11.868637,
        "fair_value": 11.65491,
        "relative_strength": -11.907101,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.125809,
        "energy": 88.091397,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 12.122,
        "volume": 7060,
        "typical_volume": 9877.95,
        "trend": 11.881703,
        "fair_value": 11.664454,
        "relative_strength": -10.287212,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.694294,
        "energy": 87.049413,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.128933,
          12.0768,
          11.986524,
          11.941513
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 12.13,
        "volume": 7776,
        "typical_volume": 8934.15,
        "trend": 11.8966,
        "fair_value": 11.673251,
        "relative_strength": -9.778215,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.040459,
        "energy": 82.100158,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.13,
          12.0964,
          12.003981,
          11.957532
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.014,
        "volume": 4629,
        "typical_volume": 9116.35,
        "trend": 11.90574,
        "fair_value": 11.681333,
        "relative_strength": -10.868095,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.478394,
        "energy": 48.164891,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.088533,
          12.090036,
          12.009695,
          11.965107
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 12.008,
        "volume": 2755,
        "typical_volume": 8837.05,
        "trend": 11.910836,
        "fair_value": 11.689106,
        "relative_strength": -13.125328,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.837423,
        "energy": 35.233177,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.056533,
          12.080291,
          12.014886,
          11.971704
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}