{ "ticker": { "uuid": "35a62b2f-c42d-4cc2-bfd1-099484bdbf78", "symbol": "VAPU", "name": "Vanguard FTSE Developed Asia Pacific ex Japan UCITS ETF USD Accumulation", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 89.887, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 6.217, "architecture_energy": 19.254, "architecture_maturity": 64.908, "architecture_confidence": 74.656, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.0, "rotation_up": 15.7, "upward_expansion": 41.25, "deceleration": 87.84, "rotation_down": 43.79, "downward_expansion": 35.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 55.327999, 56.977272, 57.365904, 55.716817 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 55.880001, "trend_reference": 53.277166, "distance_from_trend": 0.048855, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 36.104968, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.547709, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 9.937435, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.186412, "excess_performance": 0.135177, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.048855, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.127259, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.547709, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.200144, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.099374, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.255721, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.186412, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.544879, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 348999, "relative_activity": 1.347244, "balance": 0.544879, "dry_up": 1.539102, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072341, "annualized_volatility": 0.342496, "from_high_reference": -0.127693, "from_low_reference": 0.563733 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 53.277166, "fair_value_reference": 36.104968, "structural_low": 44.264999, "invalidation": "A 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"color": "green", "start": "2024-09-20", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.035953, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.058889, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.058108, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.000998, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.144151, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.00203, 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"typical_volume": 238350.8, "trend": 52.43175, "fair_value": 35.770833, "relative_strength": 11.269813, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.535671, "energy": 23.39516, "activity_lines": [ 56.610666, 58.334908, 57.411547, 55.393118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 54.419998, "volume": 261513, "typical_volume": 246187.9, "trend": 52.850916, "fair_value": 35.930865, "relative_strength": 7.897267, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.19816, "energy": 20.065292, "activity_lines": [ 55.500665, 57.489635, 57.337094, 55.521392 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 55.880001, "volume": 348999, "typical_volume": 259046.7, "trend": 53.277166, "fair_value": 36.104968, "relative_strength": 9.937435, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.216915, "energy": 19.254427, "activity_lines": [ 55.327999, 56.977272, 57.365904, 55.716817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }