{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "35b69f7e-4b6c-4b3a-be69-bed02b38a13b",
    "symbol": "ADW-A",
    "name": "Andrew Peller Limited",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.161,
    "architecture_energy": 68.149,
    "architecture_maturity": 72.229,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.36,
        "rotation_up": 58.96,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 56.92,
        "rotation_down": 27.54,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.959333,
        7.819892,
        7.071806,
        6.606133
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 7.95,
    "trend_reference": 6.068217,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.310105,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 4.5062,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.764236,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 26.284759,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.520761,
    "excess_performance": 0.40034,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.310105,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.151246,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.764236,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.409975,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.262848,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.267188,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.520761,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.93517,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 178900,
      "relative_activity": 0.909784,
      "balance": 3.93517,
      "dry_up": 1.7396,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035177,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.473813,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005006,
      "from_low_reference": 0.658228
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.068217,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.5062,
      "structural_low": 5.020122,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.011663,
        "positive_rate": 0.588235,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.588235,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011643,
        "regime_survival": 0.705882,
        "best_return": 0.397188,
        "worst_return": -0.090616,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.00895,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.065877,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.40493,
        "worst_return": -0.095636,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.067634,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018902,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.55292,
        "worst_return": -0.124036,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.034261,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.235677,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.124676,
        "worst_return": -0.056155,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.042187,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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      },
      {
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-06-13",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 112005.0,
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        "fair_value": 4.366457,
        "relative_strength": 32.7478,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 4.394954,
        "relative_strength": 32.411171,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.199469,
        "energy": 93.413722,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 344800,
        "typical_volume": 166155.0,
        "trend": 5.789316,
        "fair_value": 4.423571,
        "relative_strength": 32.127457,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.203685,
        "energy": 90.25991,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.94161,
          7.296254,
          6.578536,
          6.20436
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.98,
        "volume": 389700,
        "typical_volume": 178015.0,
        "trend": 5.886068,
        "fair_value": 4.451977,
        "relative_strength": 31.391586,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.587182,
        "energy": 90.016908,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.960533,
          7.518502,
          6.7583,
          6.345695
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.95,
        "volume": 454900,
        "typical_volume": 194095.0,
        "trend": 5.977142,
        "fair_value": 4.47986,
        "relative_strength": 30.910095,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.606066,
        "energy": 88.409986,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.962,
          7.690687,
          6.921676,
          6.478852
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.95,
        "volume": 178900,
        "typical_volume": 196640.0,
        "trend": 6.068217,
        "fair_value": 4.5062,
        "relative_strength": 26.284759,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.160512,
        "energy": 68.148735,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.959333,
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          7.071806,
          6.606133
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}