{ "ticker": { "uuid": "35b72ef2-d9fd-4a52-8eea-3690c352fc53", "symbol": "002331", "name": "Anhui Wantong Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.158, "architecture_energy": 75.239, "architecture_maturity": 28.592, "architecture_confidence": 90.27, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.33, "rotation_up": 12.46, "upward_expansion": 17.23, "deceleration": 39.24, "rotation_down": 73.56, "downward_expansion": 92.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.745333, 7.014909, 7.732524, 8.056753 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 6.97, "trend_reference": 8.525, "distance_from_trend": -0.182405, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.803674, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.106831, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.518432, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.287321, "excess_performance": -0.294721, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.182405, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058878, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.106831, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.362588, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.215184, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.132466, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.287321, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.165041, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 36407294, "relative_activity": 0.616939, "balance": 0.165041, "dry_up": 0.712762, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101203, "annualized_volatility": 0.412867, "from_high_reference": -0.35463, "from_low_reference": 0.161667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.525, "fair_value_reference": 7.803674, "structural_low": 6.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.044686, "positive_rate": 0.631579, "directional_follow_through": 0.368421, "median_excess_return": 0.037688, "regime_survival": 0.684211, "best_return": 0.200508, "worst_return": -0.148148, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.057718, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.009547, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.337798, "worst_return": -0.227376, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.016369, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.061388, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.174761, "worst_return": -0.18552, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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8.371571, 8.579763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.59, "volume": 45354801, "typical_volume": 58426944.25, "trend": 8.744333, "fair_value": 7.812124, "relative_strength": -24.315596, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.972844, "energy": 85.430142, "activity_lines": [ 7.062667, 7.614909, 8.186048, 8.436237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.47, "volume": 42139432, "typical_volume": 58375606.45, "trend": 8.667667, "fair_value": 7.807684, "relative_strength": -25.450779, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.71687, "energy": 88.646399, "activity_lines": [ 6.786, 7.316727, 8.001286, 8.289505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.68, "volume": 44346755, "typical_volume": 59081804.8, "trend": 8.59, "fair_value": 7.803504, "relative_strength": -21.324654, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.652054, "energy": 84.553534, "activity_lines": [ 6.687333, 7.114182, 7.848238, 8.161269 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.97, "volume": 36407294, "typical_volume": 59012811.5, "trend": 8.525, "fair_value": 7.803674, "relative_strength": -21.518432, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.158237, "energy": 75.238793, "activity_lines": [ 6.745333, 7.014909, 7.732524, 8.056753 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }