{ "ticker": { "uuid": "35c72330-1010-410b-8e23-61b3330ac73d", "symbol": "002081", "name": "Suzhou Gold Mantis Construction Decoration Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 62.777, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -27.096, "architecture_energy": 55.101, "architecture_maturity": 11.174, "architecture_confidence": 69.886, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.44, "rotation_up": 14.86, "upward_expansion": 26.92, "deceleration": 49.85, "rotation_down": 69.29, "downward_expansion": 56.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.770667, 4.018, 4.608558, 4.521285 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 3.95, "trend_reference": 4.339101, "distance_from_trend": -0.089673, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.640101, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.085135, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.874756, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.058981, "excess_performance": 0.051581, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.089673, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079799, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.085135, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.758346, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.028748, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.511419, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.058981, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.059601, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 517926976, "relative_activity": 0.695431, "balance": 1.059601, "dry_up": 0.640387, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.182409, "annualized_volatility": 0.785665, "from_high_reference": -0.530828, "from_low_reference": 0.25 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.339101, "fair_value_reference": 3.640101, "structural_low": 3.16, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.496741, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.451616, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.029851, "worst_return": -0.036368, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.115608, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.114141, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.24408, "worst_return": -0.012864, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.16884, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.037531, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.16884, "worst_return": -0.16884, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.308058, 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"modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.02556, "energy": 34.962044, "activity_lines": [ 4.072, 4.604659, 4.866554, 4.632079 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.55, "volume": 488411131, "typical_volume": 709105196.85, "trend": 4.317768, "fair_value": 3.646316, "relative_strength": -10.019428, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.372087, "energy": 48.416952, "activity_lines": [ 3.835333, 4.311198, 4.762063, 4.583169 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.73, "volume": 463061192, "typical_volume": 725353972.65, "trend": 4.321434, "fair_value": 3.642745, "relative_strength": -3.704964, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.862279, "energy": 56.900333, "activity_lines": [ 3.742, 4.125644, 4.675049, 4.545248 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.95, "volume": 517926976, "typical_volume": 744757031.4, "trend": 4.339101, "fair_value": 3.640101, "relative_strength": -2.874756, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.095678, "energy": 55.100791, "activity_lines": [ 3.770667, 4.018, 4.608558, 4.521285 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }