{ "ticker": { "uuid": "35c9a2bc-3da6-4ce8-8494-21cdff4fa07c", "symbol": "688055", "name": "InfoVision Optoelectronics (Kunshan) Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 67.039, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -19.556, "architecture_energy": 40.139, "architecture_maturity": 8.76, "architecture_confidence": 69.623, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.33, "rotation_up": 16.98, "upward_expansion": 22.56, "deceleration": 52.25, "rotation_down": 62.98, "downward_expansion": 45.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.867333, 4.263273, 4.489238, 4.434215 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3.94, "trend_reference": 4.303667, "distance_from_trend": -0.084502, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.886715, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.01371, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.372734, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.050667, "excess_performance": 0.09387, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.084502, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057758, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.01371, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.223053, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.043727, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.167235, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.050667, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.885383, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 90695841, "relative_activity": 0.764041, "balance": 0.885383, "dry_up": 0.739028, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.202265, "annualized_volatility": 0.817835, "from_high_reference": -0.371611, "from_low_reference": 0.12894 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.303667, "fair_value_reference": 3.886715, "structural_low": 3.54, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.008594, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.020911, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.095376, "worst_return": -0.066667, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.011519, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.002633, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.049315, "worst_return": -0.025067, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.116846, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.076267, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.427397, "worst_return": -0.190751, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"green", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.042857, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.0975, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.019178, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.013369, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.142105, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.133484, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", 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7.871151, "energy": 8.05305, "activity_lines": [ 4.562667, 4.773455, 4.685857, 4.522043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.74, "volume": 86371500, "typical_volume": 128977675.8, "trend": 4.286667, "fair_value": 3.890358, "relative_strength": -6.509905, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.807573, "energy": 24.031025, "activity_lines": [ 4.194, 4.564727, 4.608571, 4.487054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.82, "volume": 58263602, "typical_volume": 120501947.55, "trend": 4.292333, "fair_value": 3.887672, "relative_strength": -4.820439, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.321995, "energy": 30.635098, "activity_lines": [ 3.954667, 4.384909, 4.541762, 4.456946 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.94, "volume": 90695841, "typical_volume": 118705413.3, "trend": 4.303667, "fair_value": 3.886715, "relative_strength": -4.372734, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.555841, "energy": 40.13918, "activity_lines": [ 3.867333, 4.263273, 4.489238, 4.434215 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }