{ "ticker": { "uuid": "35d1bf6b-6217-4bac-97a4-082d3eec5b36", "symbol": "HRB", "name": "H&R Block Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "model_version": "ta-0.1.0", "as_of_week": "2026-07-31", "benchmark": "SPY", "history_weeks": 344, "chart_window_weeks": 156, "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "stage_color": "blue", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "stage_age_weeks": 5, "hard_stage_exit": false, "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "transition_score": 74.007, "is_transition_watch": true, "confidence": 81.059, "composite_score": 76.675, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_color": "green", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.506, "architecture_energy": 79.521, "architecture_maturity": 23.172, "architecture_confidence": 75.169, "architecture_age_weeks": 2, "is_reacceleration_watch": false, "architecture": { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.506, "energy": 79.521, "maturity": 23.172, "confidence": 75.169, "confirmation": 61.657, "age_weeks": 2, "candidate": null, "candidate_weeks": 0, "hard_reversal": false, "reacceleration_watch": false, "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Activity Lines are positively ordered above the 30-week Trend Line, with rising slopes and price acceptance. Fan expansion measures the energy of the move; contraction inside this regime warns that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.45, "rotation_up": 79.43, "upward_expansion": 95.64, "deceleration": 39.41, "rotation_down": 11.04, "downward_expansion": 17.64 }, "activity_lines": { "5": 41.928667, "10": 40.167433, "20": 38.037592, "30": 36.457084 }, "activity_slopes": { "5": 1.238825, "10": 0.80298, "20": 0.770793, "30": 0.447314 }, "bullish_order": 1.0, "bearish_order": 0.0, "fan_width_atr": 1.550397, "fan_width_change_4": 0.710173, "fan_width_percentile": 0.730769, "fast_slow_gap_atr": 1.076948, "fast_slow_gap_change_4": 0.411849, "price_acceptance": 1.0, "current_fan_distance_atr": 0.595422, "accepted_above": 1.0, "accepted_below": 0.0, "crossing_density": 0.5 }, "interpretation": { "headline": "Price is repairing upward toward current Fair Value.", "body": "The market remains below the long-term Fair Value anchor, so the recovery stays in Stage 1. A narrowing gap, improving relative strength, range compression and eventual resistance absorption determine whether it can graduate to Stage 2.", "phase": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "transition_context": "The evidence score for the next canonical transition is 74/100." }, "latest_close": 44.03, "sma_30": 35.518256, "distance_from_sma_30": 0.239644, "sma_30_slope": -0.037323, "fair_value": 46.044073, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.043742, "fair_value_gap_change_13": 0.273068, "is_fair_value_repair": true, "mansfield_rs": 0.038076, "mansfield_rs_change_13": 37.215698, "range_position_52": 0.633247, "returns": { "13": 0.424549, "26": 0.143808, "52": -0.156639 }, "relative_returns": { "26": 0.058487, "52": -0.371473 }, "stage_scores": { "1": 49.18, "2": 44.0, "3": 29.74, "4": 36.53 }, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs 30-week average", "positive": true, "value": 0.239644, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "30-week slope", "positive": false, "value": -0.037323, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.043742, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "13-week Fair Value gap", "positive": true, "value": 0.273068, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Mansfield RS vs SPY", "positive": true, "value": 0.000381, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "13-week RS change", "positive": true, "value": 0.372157, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "26-week price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.143808, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "13-week volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.028802, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10214195, "ratio_20": 0.92628, "up_down_ratio_13": 2.028802, "dry_up_ratio": 0.844875, "accumulation_weeks": 4, "distribution_weeks": 1 }, "base": { "high_26": 42.89, "low_26": 27.47775, "depth": 0.359344, "compression": 0.693423, "breakout_distance": 0.02658 }, "risk": { "atr_percent": 0.080153, "annualized_volatility": 0.491585, 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Ordinary regime changes require two completed observations; a fully aligned reversal beyond the fan can change immediately.", "architecture_boundary": "The green/red/orange Trend gate is derived from the same Activity Lines and is therefore not counted as an independent vote. Relative strength and volume alter confirmation, while point-in-time Fair Value supplies context rather than determining the regime.", "admissibility": "Stage 2 cannot persist when price is more than 5% below the 30-week average or 8% below current Fair Value, the ten-week average slope is below -2%, Mansfield RS is below -8, or the 26-week return is below -15%. Stage 4 requires price no more than 5% above the average, RS no higher than +8, and at least one deterioration test: slope at or below +1.5%, 13-week return at or below -10%, or 26-week return at or below -12%. 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