{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "35d8ecc1-7a5f-4364-990e-80d1f50e228c",
    "symbol": "HMOP",
    "name": "HARTFORD FUNDS EXCHANGE TRADED TR MUNICIPAL OPPORTUNITIES ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 85.834,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -51.305,
    "architecture_energy": 41.845,
    "architecture_maturity": 2.158,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.962,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.37,
        "rotation_up": 11.91,
        "upward_expansion": 7.62,
        "deceleration": 42.64,
        "rotation_down": 62.51,
        "downward_expansion": 76.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        38.860878
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 38.82,
    "trend_reference": 38.896766,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.001974,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 36.967019,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.050125,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -10.442059,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.006964,
    "excess_performance": -0.132589,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001974,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003354,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050125,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011449,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.104421,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009626,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.006964,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.163418,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "balance": 1.163418,
      "dry_up": 1.304356,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.007883,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.036494,
      "from_high_reference": -0.017234,
      "from_low_reference": 0.047432
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 36.967019,
      "structural_low": 38.261408,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.028766,
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 38.980524,
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        "typical_volume": 330902.95,
        "trend": 38.645877,
        "fair_value": 36.513233,
        "relative_strength": -6.810171,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 18.586808,
        "energy": 17.815895,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.774926,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 39.000412,
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        "typical_volume": 331551.0,
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        "fair_value": 36.541952,
        "relative_strength": -6.879947,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 330159.8,
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        "fair_value": 36.569488,
        "relative_strength": -7.854992,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 19.667372,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 38.85067,
        "volume": 346449,
        "typical_volume": 330202.55,
        "trend": 38.730403,
        "fair_value": 36.597223,
        "relative_strength": -9.479472,
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        "direction": 31.01861,
        "energy": 19.804364,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 38.607076,
        "volume": 469215,
        "typical_volume": 344790.05,
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        "fair_value": 36.625973,
        "relative_strength": -9.922283,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 6.464393,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.789146,
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          38.8281
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 38.646847,
        "volume": 335793,
        "typical_volume": 349969.5,
        "trend": 38.74839,
        "fair_value": 36.655398,
        "relative_strength": -10.248006,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -14.888559,
        "energy": 19.703124,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.721788,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 38.945429,
        "volume": 282398,
        "typical_volume": 340631.9,
        "trend": 38.766723,
        "fair_value": 36.685657,
        "relative_strength": -10.506326,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 12.464446,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 39.089985,
        "volume": 391456,
        "typical_volume": 337526.35,
        "trend": 38.789875,
        "fair_value": 36.715682,
        "relative_strength": -7.589329,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.294905,
        "energy": 15.887322,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.882467,
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          38.865847,
          38.85573
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 38.960383,
        "volume": 283822,
        "typical_volume": 338439.85,
        "trend": 38.808707,
        "fair_value": 36.744412,
        "relative_strength": -8.113118,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.341888,
        "energy": 24.345472,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 299391,
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        "trend": 38.82492,
        "fair_value": 36.772672,
        "relative_strength": -8.655285,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 26.61198,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 39.093663,
        "volume": 273961,
        "typical_volume": 328012.05,
        "trend": 38.844856,
        "fair_value": 36.801965,
        "relative_strength": -5.855899,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.536427,
        "energy": 42.998662,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.018435,
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          38.88936,
          38.893211
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 39.104015,
        "volume": 292037,
        "typical_volume": 327929.55,
        "trend": 38.868065,
        "fair_value": 36.83179,
        "relative_strength": -7.593251,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.635395,
        "energy": 47.030416,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.050448,
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          38.909931
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 38.98437,
        "volume": 307562,
        "typical_volume": 329797.0,
        "trend": 38.886323,
        "fair_value": 36.86015,
        "relative_strength": -8.857002,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.42328,
        "energy": 37.30983,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.032007,
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          38.913708,
          38.917434
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 38.844784,
        "volume": 435465,
        "typical_volume": 336195.45,
        "trend": 38.898291,
        "fair_value": 36.887149,
        "relative_strength": -7.537861,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.143824,
        "energy": 17.361237,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.974079,
          38.970842,
          38.908836,
          38.914754
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 38.505789,
        "volume": 425361,
        "typical_volume": 342403.65,
        "trend": 38.897157,
        "fair_value": 36.91224,
        "relative_strength": -7.602009,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.235619,
        "energy": 27.306546,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.810859,
          38.895041,
          38.874613,
          38.889431
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.53,
        "volume": 295165,
        "typical_volume": 346807.8,
        "trend": 38.895415,
        "fair_value": 36.938631,
        "relative_strength": -8.26905,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.135023,
        "energy": 44.927436,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.685351,
          38.825483,
          38.845216,
          38.865744
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 38.82,
        "volume": 712927,
        "typical_volume": 358206.95,
        "trend": 38.896766,
        "fair_value": 36.967019,
        "relative_strength": -10.442059,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.304653,
        "energy": 41.844657,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.694087,
          38.810777,
          38.845179,
          38.860878
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}