{ "ticker": { "uuid": "35d944fb-546c-43fb-9b47-0cf4a24fe803", "symbol": "ITH", "name": "International Tower Hill Mines Ltd.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 48.792, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.928, "architecture_energy": 46.04, "architecture_maturity": 10.525, "architecture_confidence": 89.452, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.11, "rotation_up": 15.13, "upward_expansion": 8.42, "deceleration": 42.14, "rotation_down": 57.69, "downward_expansion": 81.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.855333, 2.924727, 3.07819, 3.188108 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.13, "trend_reference": 3.317667, "distance_from_trend": -0.056566, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.520449, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.058603, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.492098, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.100575, "excess_performance": -0.220996, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.056566, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037636, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.058603, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.614638, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.044921, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.323367, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.100575, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.792941, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 261000, "relative_activity": 1.151606, "balance": 0.792941, "dry_up": 0.756265, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.154092, "annualized_volatility": 0.938587, "from_high_reference": -0.366397, "from_low_reference": 0.993631 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.317667, "fair_value_reference": 1.520449, "structural_low": 2.43, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.48, "directional_follow_through": 0.48, "median_excess_return": -0.019641, "regime_survival": 0.76, "best_return": 0.416667, "worst_return": -0.172414, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.111494, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.095263, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.571429, "worst_return": -0.255814, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.087871, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.109093, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.508475, "worst_return": -0.27907, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 292485.0, "trend": 3.310667, "fair_value": 1.476346, "relative_strength": -10.509161, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.140902, "energy": 39.038808, "activity_lines": [ 3.007333, 3.064545, 3.190762, 3.282215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.88, "volume": 96800, "typical_volume": 250435.0, "trend": 3.315667, "fair_value": 1.491346, "relative_strength": -9.051889, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.429084, "energy": 33.909323, "activity_lines": [ 2.953333, 3.016545, 3.152762, 3.25443 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.47, "volume": 170600, "typical_volume": 246540.0, "trend": 3.312333, "fair_value": 1.503846, "relative_strength": -21.890498, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.783727, "energy": 61.489757, "activity_lines": [ 2.778, 2.903273, 3.081619, 3.199871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.13, "volume": 261000, "typical_volume": 226640.0, "trend": 3.317667, "fair_value": 1.520449, "relative_strength": -4.492098, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.927714, "energy": 46.039655, "activity_lines": [ 2.855333, 2.924727, 3.07819, 3.188108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }