{ "ticker": { "uuid": "35d9bb94-8ace-479c-b3f1-7dc6ed0589b3", "symbol": "9561", "name": "Knowledge Net Computer Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.711, "architecture_energy": 34.132, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.664, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.33, "rotation_up": 27.66, "upward_expansion": 22.04, "deceleration": 46.96, "rotation_down": 36.47, "downward_expansion": 63.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.909333, 9.854545, 10.016841, 10.712193 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 10.0, "trend_reference": 11.939, "distance_from_trend": -0.162409, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.907072, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.441561, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.064503, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.407115, "excess_performance": -0.375285, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.162409, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.116459, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.441561, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010567, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.260645, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068724, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.407115, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.109727, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18487, "relative_activity": 0.582601, "balance": 0.109727, "dry_up": 0.210695, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066462, "annualized_volatility": 0.339601, "from_high_reference": -0.5, "from_low_reference": 0.111111 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.939, "fair_value_reference": 17.907072, "structural_low": 9.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.053917, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.032521, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 0.282051, "worst_return": -0.1275, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.073321, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.08934, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.692308, "worst_return": -0.202926, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.168906, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.153785, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.589744, "worst_return": -0.355658, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 18.216047, "relative_strength": -25.95478, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.431469, "energy": 48.666096, "activity_lines": [ 9.878667, 9.830545, 10.261746, 11.161577 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.8, "volume": 3301, "typical_volume": 32577.25, "trend": 12.183222, "fair_value": 18.113483, "relative_strength": -29.187828, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.011028, "energy": 48.748232, "activity_lines": [ 9.884667, 9.816545, 10.153762, 10.999219 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.8, "volume": 1234, "typical_volume": 31459.7, "trend": 12.065667, "fair_value": 18.009636, "relative_strength": -26.773778, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.975862, "energy": 48.299393, "activity_lines": [ 9.857333, 9.817091, 10.065778, 10.845462 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.0, "volume": 18487, "typical_volume": 31731.85, "trend": 11.939, "fair_value": 17.907072, "relative_strength": -26.064503, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.711337, "energy": 34.132281, "activity_lines": [ 9.909333, 9.854545, 10.016841, 10.712193 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }