{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "35dffcf1-2ea0-40f5-967a-f71411237cb0",
    "symbol": "DWUS",
    "name": "ADVISORSHARES DORSEY WRIGHT FSM US CORE ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 77.344,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 35.595,
    "architecture_energy": 25.108,
    "architecture_maturity": 66.131,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.177,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.32,
        "rotation_up": 26.3,
        "upward_expansion": 56.6,
        "deceleration": 88.26,
        "rotation_down": 36.46,
        "downward_expansion": 20.26
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        58.86554,
        59.527518,
        59.395838,
        58.137382
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 60.3687,
    "trend_reference": 56.730147,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.064138,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 48.328646,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.249129,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -4.588875,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.109138,
    "excess_performance": -0.078316,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064138,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035546,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.249129,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.029634,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045889,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024863,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.109138,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.480021,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4971,
      "relative_activity": 0.718914,
      "balance": 1.480021,
      "dry_up": 0.35049,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.04285,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.202725,
      "from_high_reference": -0.055751,
      "from_low_reference": 0.222578
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 56.730147,
      "fair_value_reference": 48.328646,
      "structural_low": 49.3782,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.006899,
        "positive_rate": 0.615385,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.615385,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002988,
        "regime_survival": 0.307692,
        "best_return": 0.078962,
        "worst_return": -0.077915,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.052907,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01229,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.130803,
        "worst_return": -0.067209,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.092683,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.038919,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.186075,
        "worst_return": 0.002677,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.097488,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005601,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.146866,
        "worst_return": -0.189421,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.060948,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.062201,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.03519,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.124859,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.025041,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.022058,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.001271,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.024283,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.044721,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.02709,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.103962,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.036712,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.014504,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.042481,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 13035.7,
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        "direction": -10.882851,
        "energy": 9.095716,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 56.7621,
        "volume": 21007,
        "typical_volume": 12913.2,
        "trend": 53.943879,
        "fair_value": 46.019928,
        "relative_strength": -5.253889,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 25.436529,
        "energy": 32.604906,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 7968.0,
        "trend": 54.044131,
        "fair_value": 46.172536,
        "relative_strength": -5.749641,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 45.788352,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 59.2567,
        "volume": 2637,
        "typical_volume": 7928.25,
        "trend": 54.249142,
        "fair_value": 46.339097,
        "relative_strength": -7.075165,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.918172,
        "energy": 88.370223,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 58.9206,
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        "typical_volume": 8635.0,
        "trend": 54.41163,
        "fair_value": 46.49864,
        "relative_strength": -7.044942,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.904288,
        "energy": 89.865116,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 59.9942,
        "volume": 4536,
        "typical_volume": 8320.1,
        "trend": 54.581329,
        "fair_value": 46.662544,
        "relative_strength": -6.221187,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.977184,
        "energy": 91.878662,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 61.3256,
        "volume": 5329,
        "typical_volume": 8362.3,
        "trend": 54.782822,
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        "relative_strength": -6.560635,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.052121,
        "energy": 94.03428,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 58.9192,
        "volume": 4978,
        "typical_volume": 7702.95,
        "trend": 54.958086,
        "fair_value": 46.982954,
        "relative_strength": -5.767111,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 75.796706,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 61.226,
        "volume": 3196,
        "typical_volume": 7725.95,
        "trend": 55.218647,
        "fair_value": 47.142721,
        "relative_strength": -4.090344,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 9304.15,
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        "fair_value": 47.320411,
        "relative_strength": -3.088372,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 86.511543,
        "energy": 76.554355,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 60.8883,
        "volume": 8203,
        "typical_volume": 9580.5,
        "trend": 55.828341,
        "fair_value": 47.476004,
        "relative_strength": -2.423894,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.41277,
        "energy": 60.646481,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 60.1409,
        "volume": 2725,
        "typical_volume": 9399.6,
        "trend": 56.004466,
        "fair_value": 47.629045,
        "relative_strength": -4.294122,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.964775,
        "energy": 55.039535,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 61.1655,
        "volume": 1500,
        "typical_volume": 8187.15,
        "trend": 56.245179,
        "fair_value": 47.782051,
        "relative_strength": -4.252566,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.102408,
        "energy": 51.999899,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.139333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 58.066,
        "volume": 229,
        "typical_volume": 7971.7,
        "trend": 56.368683,
        "fair_value": 47.914833,
        "relative_strength": -5.014732,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.842524,
        "energy": 29.811732,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.039687,
          60.429298,
          59.065559,
          57.723854
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 57.9087,
        "volume": 2473,
        "typical_volume": 7981.95,
        "trend": 56.46135,
        "fair_value": 48.043385,
        "relative_strength": -3.608192,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.336299,
        "energy": 24.398984,
        "activity_lines": [
          59.098273,
          59.97542,
          59.13465,
          57.82321
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 57.529,
        "volume": 2021,
        "typical_volume": 7821.5,
        "trend": 56.56669,
        "fair_value": 48.175665,
        "relative_strength": -4.598108,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 22.651382,
        "energy": 21.528968,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.396647,
          59.470904,
          59.143173,
          57.892091
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 60.3687,
        "volume": 4971,
        "typical_volume": 6914.6,
        "trend": 56.730147,
        "fair_value": 48.328646,
        "relative_strength": -4.588875,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.595167,
        "energy": 25.108144,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.86554,
          59.527518,
          59.395838,
          58.137382
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}