{ "ticker": { "uuid": "35fa8dfb-d3a2-4a78-bf19-491aa03b3d33", "symbol": "UVAL", "name": "State Street SPDR MSCI USA Value UCITS ETF USD Acc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.536, "architecture_energy": 65.261, "architecture_maturity": 71.665, "architecture_confidence": 62.964, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.42, "rotation_up": 48.85, "upward_expansion": 80.67, "deceleration": 74.31, "rotation_down": 29.55, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 73.260001, 72.983, 71.533547, 69.08329 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 74.815002, "trend_reference": 66.014333, "distance_from_trend": 0.133315, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 51.095352, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.464223, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.709805, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.238249, "excess_performance": 0.187014, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.133315, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090728, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.464223, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081308, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.137098, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025601, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.238249, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.303454, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8187, "relative_activity": 0.781333, "balance": 0.303454, "dry_up": 3.795362, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.025259, "annualized_volatility": 0.141016, "from_high_reference": -0.004181, "from_low_reference": 0.558672 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 66.014333, "fair_value_reference": 51.095352, "structural_low": 58.222599, "invalidation": "A 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 71.580002, "volume": 135451, "typical_volume": 9777.4, "trend": 64.467, "fair_value": 50.483333, "relative_strength": 13.536283, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.69712, "energy": 55.322694, "activity_lines": [ 72.122001, 72.575, 69.829999, 67.43843 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 73.235001, "volume": 6913, "typical_volume": 10032.05, "trend": 65.0045, "fair_value": 50.684102, "relative_strength": 14.127113, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.113426, "energy": 53.939978, "activity_lines": [ 72.386668, 72.729546, 70.433738, 68.004107 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 72.419998, "volume": 8524, "typical_volume": 10346.9, "trend": 65.503166, "fair_value": 50.881186, "relative_strength": 10.971235, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.770503, "energy": 51.545556, "activity_lines": [ 72.380667, 72.654727, 70.900166, 68.482526 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 74.815002, "volume": 8187, "typical_volume": 10478.25, "trend": 66.014333, "fair_value": 51.095352, "relative_strength": 13.709805, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.535675, "energy": 65.261313, "activity_lines": [ 73.260001, 72.983, 71.533547, 69.08329 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }