{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3605f0a4-f572-4ff0-8086-831c6ae14b71", "symbol": "600052", "name": "Zhejiang Dongwang Times Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.774, "architecture_energy": 37.225, "architecture_maturity": 59.991, "architecture_confidence": 92.14, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.23, "rotation_up": 21.3, "upward_expansion": 4.49, "deceleration": 50.88, "rotation_down": 45.68, "downward_expansion": 73.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.659333, 3.668727, 3.847571, 3.958839 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3.77, "trend_reference": 4.142333, "distance_from_trend": -0.089885, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.369103, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.137123, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.308189, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.211297, "excess_performance": -0.168093, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.089885, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083026, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.137123, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.174093, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.153082, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070143, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.211297, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.6779, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 48521401, "relative_activity": 0.518102, "balance": 0.6779, "dry_up": 0.643307, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096511, "annualized_volatility": 0.406125, "from_high_reference": -0.358466, "from_low_reference": 0.122024 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.142333, "fair_value_reference": 4.369103, "structural_low": 3.36, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.016495, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.000439, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.240793, "worst_return": -0.171429, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.079454, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.021037, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.3966, "worst_return": -0.092742, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.246943, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.032419, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.543909, "worst_return": -0.104803, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 93502532.05, "trend": 4.205667, "fair_value": 4.385743, "relative_strength": -21.351427, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.437547, "energy": 49.494704, "activity_lines": [ 3.584, 3.678545, 3.890524, 4.01557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.73, "volume": 59317349, "typical_volume": 93815759.45, "trend": 4.173667, "fair_value": 4.376917, "relative_strength": -14.266743, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.96016, "energy": 41.774086, "activity_lines": [ 3.622, 3.662545, 3.866, 3.984882 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.77, "volume": 48521401, "typical_volume": 93652205.15, "trend": 4.142333, "fair_value": 4.369103, "relative_strength": -15.308189, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.77366, "energy": 37.224834, "activity_lines": [ 3.659333, 3.668727, 3.847571, 3.958839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }