{ "ticker": { "uuid": "36114bb5-c3ae-4260-9c23-58bfd86b189c", "symbol": "SRD", "name": "Shankar Lal Rampal Dye-Chem Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -70.659, "architecture_energy": 56.177, "architecture_maturity": 48.788, "architecture_confidence": 86.99, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.51, "rotation_up": 17.71, "upward_expansion": 8.3, "deceleration": 46.35, "rotation_down": 68.88, "downward_expansion": 86.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.658666, 38.655999, 40.00038, 41.701742 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 36.639999, "trend_reference": 44.949, "distance_from_trend": -0.184854, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 63.079216, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.419143, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.387196, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.35493, "excess_performance": -0.31122, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.184854, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.170892, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.419143, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07873, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.333872, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048689, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.35493, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.421905, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 165694, "relative_activity": 1.25288, "balance": 0.421905, "dry_up": 1.172249, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091598, "annualized_volatility": 0.435363, "from_high_reference": -0.597082, "from_low_reference": 0.017778 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 44.949, "fair_value_reference": 63.079216, "structural_low": 36.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.058436, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.043422, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.032275, "worst_return": -0.090819, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.12168, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.120889, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.12168, "worst_return": -0.12168, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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"volume": 83792, "typical_volume": 139192.3, "trend": 46.870666, "fair_value": 63.631965, "relative_strength": -30.783812, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.509656, "energy": 46.746654, "activity_lines": [ 39.099999, 39.631999, 40.923809, 42.898537 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.560001, "volume": 54763, "typical_volume": 134274.1, "trend": 45.879666, "fair_value": 63.357523, "relative_strength": -32.195485, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.961551, "energy": 49.082585, "activity_lines": [ 38.411999, 39.190545, 40.473523, 42.297849 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.639999, "volume": 165694, "typical_volume": 132250.5, "trend": 44.949, "fair_value": 63.079216, "relative_strength": -33.387196, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.659308, "energy": 56.176856, "activity_lines": [ 37.658666, 38.655999, 40.00038, 41.701742 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }