{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3632e44b-4246-4575-ba3b-a09d1dfda5e9", "symbol": "600156", "name": "Hunan Huasheng CO.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 58.865, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -31.636, "architecture_energy": 46.71, "architecture_maturity": 10.626, "architecture_confidence": 58.028, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.55, "rotation_up": 18.69, "upward_expansion": 17.09, "deceleration": 45.65, "rotation_down": 61.5, "downward_expansion": 56.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.676, 8.041455, 8.988499, 9.014888 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.4, "trend_reference": 8.915509, "distance_from_trend": -0.057822, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.107148, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.375437, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.639639, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.002711, "excess_performance": 0.040493, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.057822, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011187, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.375437, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.71781, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.036396, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.370768, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.002711, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.439372, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 71212619, "relative_activity": 0.575824, "balance": 1.439372, "dry_up": 0.518232, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.197802, "annualized_volatility": 0.743289, "from_high_reference": -0.461883, "from_low_reference": 0.383855 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.915509, "fair_value_reference": 6.107148, "structural_low": 6.07, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.094782, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.078073, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.169014, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.032482, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.056101, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.096244, "worst_return": 0.027322, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.121359, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.14934, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.142076, "worst_return": -0.032864, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.196625, 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"2025-01-17", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.165289, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.142735, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.395007, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.126506, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.048, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.024775, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.454343, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.305344, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.203108, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.205165, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-07-28", "close": 4.709473, "volume": 20516506, "typical_volume": 21683000.9, "trend": 4.623997, "fair_value": 4.3497, "relative_strength": -1.415321, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", 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"trend": 8.951032, "fair_value": 6.063494, "relative_strength": -17.203492, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.752255, "energy": 40.772283, "activity_lines": [ 7.738667, 8.401818, 9.254638, 9.149832 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.37, "volume": 57149106, "typical_volume": 122955813.05, "trend": 8.910609, "fair_value": 6.082276, "relative_strength": -12.887153, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.41512, "energy": 51.100365, "activity_lines": [ 7.504667, 8.071455, 9.070204, 9.04783 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.4, "volume": 71212619, "typical_volume": 123670781.6, "trend": 8.915509, "fair_value": 6.107148, "relative_strength": -3.639639, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.63553, "energy": 46.709635, "activity_lines": [ 7.676, 8.041455, 8.988499, 9.014888 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }