{ "ticker": { "uuid": "36360979-79b5-4a71-aeba-25a5b891c3f0", "symbol": "002029", "name": "Fujian Septwolves Industry Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -46.505, "architecture_energy": 35.764, "architecture_maturity": 58.166, "architecture_confidence": 66.483, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.82, "rotation_up": 24.55, "upward_expansion": 11.47, "deceleration": 65.79, "rotation_down": 42.9, "downward_expansion": 70.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.212667, 8.173818, 8.670476, 9.165935 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 8.9, "trend_reference": 10.002, "distance_from_trend": -0.110178, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.088925, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.25548, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.261244, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.248945, "excess_performance": -0.256345, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.110178, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072945, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.25548, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.407614, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.102612, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.136533, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.248945, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.572328, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 113065364, "relative_activity": 1.420821, "balance": 0.572328, "dry_up": 1.411918, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.111063, "annualized_volatility": 0.535987, "from_high_reference": -0.400673, "from_low_reference": 0.328358 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.002, "fair_value_reference": 7.088925, "structural_low": 6.99, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.009081, "positive_rate": 0.55, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": 0.019858, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.172065, "worst_return": -0.094991, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.020179, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.023448, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.109127, "worst_return": -0.090164, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.009057, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.084363, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.339286, "worst_return": -0.057143, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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8.267273, 9.003143, 9.557204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.27, "volume": 93024846, "typical_volume": 72972293.7, "trend": 10.165667, "fair_value": 7.057541, "relative_strength": -23.865216, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.342795, "energy": 57.773175, "activity_lines": [ 7.768, 8.023273, 8.793238, 9.360688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.32, "volume": 124174807, "typical_volume": 76486999.2, "trend": 10.073, "fair_value": 7.07159, "relative_strength": -11.571977, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.439277, "energy": 50.233269, "activity_lines": [ 7.913333, 8.036909, 8.699524, 9.241613 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.9, "volume": 113065364, "typical_volume": 79577486.7, "trend": 10.002, "fair_value": 7.088925, "relative_strength": -10.261244, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.504513, "energy": 35.764297, "activity_lines": [ 8.212667, 8.173818, 8.670476, 9.165935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }