{ "ticker": { "uuid": "364931d1-6986-4469-be73-5fc30de1bf41", "symbol": "YELP", "name": "Yelp Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.587, "architecture_energy": 52.185, "architecture_maturity": 13.536, "architecture_confidence": 63.092, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.39, "rotation_up": 65.92, "upward_expansion": 82.28, "deceleration": 49.78, "rotation_down": 10.73, "downward_expansion": 8.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.996, 22.527, 21.86469, 21.650183 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 23.549999, "trend_reference": 21.5225, "distance_from_trend": 0.094204, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 31.535096, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.253213, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -20.417835, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.143204, "excess_performance": -0.031043, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.094204, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061396, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.253213, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052484, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.204178, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073771, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.143204, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.115197, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 638, "relative_activity": 1.713212, "balance": 1.115197, "dry_up": 1.687701, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073167, "annualized_volatility": 0.478603, "from_high_reference": -0.204392, "from_low_reference": 0.410179 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.5225, "fair_value_reference": 31.535096, "structural_low": 16.700001, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.032967, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.007199, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.078431, "worst_return": -0.085106, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.104396, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.203084, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.228758, "worst_return": -0.180851, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.076923, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.308921, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.359477, "worst_return": -0.191489, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.092676, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.329466, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.122341, "worst_return": -0.307692, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.005814, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.038461, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.021622, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.070175, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.025, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.033333, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.070513, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.107143, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.190411, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.066639, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.012827, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.214692, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.008807, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.044809, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 37.599998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 31.38, "fair_value": 30.131731, "relative_strength": 20.406374, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.698648, 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23.48, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 339.05, "trend": 22.0735, "fair_value": 32.046186, "relative_strength": -24.320598, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.534834, "energy": 11.260784, "activity_lines": [ 21.446333, 20.780182, 21.159143, 21.308968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 22.709999, "volume": 1788, "typical_volume": 323.9, "trend": 21.957167, "fair_value": 31.973814, "relative_strength": -24.940688, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 12.620467, "energy": 22.730248, "activity_lines": [ 22.036666, 21.124636, 21.317214, 21.350032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 22.91, "volume": 470, "typical_volume": 308.1, "trend": 21.8275, "fair_value": 31.878366, "relative_strength": -21.871981, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.781225, "energy": 35.970045, "activity_lines": [ 22.526333, 21.524909, 21.472381, 21.411505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.540001, "volume": 461, "typical_volume": 318.45, "trend": 21.712167, "fair_value": 31.761314, "relative_strength": -23.234654, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.377845, "energy": 41.163417, "activity_lines": [ 22.699333, 21.853909, 21.571786, 21.457473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.76, "volume": 945, "typical_volume": 346.3, "trend": 21.610833, "fair_value": 31.636699, "relative_strength": -21.535392, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.655761, "energy": 41.595236, "activity_lines": [ 22.772667, 22.153273, 21.68481, 21.525075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.549999, "volume": 638, "typical_volume": 372.4, "trend": 21.5225, "fair_value": 31.535096, "relative_strength": -20.417835, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.58749, "energy": 52.185406, "activity_lines": [ 22.996, 22.527, 21.86469, 21.650183 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }