{ "ticker": { "uuid": "364fed5d-ad6b-4d6b-8bbf-03b67451a7c3", "symbol": "INDIANCARD", "name": "The Indian Card Clothing Company Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 57.396, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 48.796, "architecture_energy": 26.616, "architecture_maturity": 19.818, "architecture_confidence": 60.929, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.14, "rotation_up": 40.95, "upward_expansion": 73.88, "deceleration": 65.18, "rotation_down": 22.55, "downward_expansion": 2.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 223.641336, 222.629638, 218.314762, 213.696537 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 219.990005, "trend_reference": 212.022999, "distance_from_trend": 0.037576, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 261.274166, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.158011, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.743042, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.049842, "excess_performance": -0.006133, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.037576, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036919, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.158011, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044317, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.03743, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115063, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.049842, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.027311, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6829, "relative_activity": 0.334075, "balance": 5.027311, "dry_up": 1.048223, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085616, "annualized_volatility": 0.412868, "from_high_reference": -0.311563, "from_low_reference": 0.437843 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 212.022999, "fair_value_reference": 261.274166, "structural_low": 153.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.029125, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": -0.032241, "regime_survival": 0.526316, "best_return": 0.373624, "worst_return": -0.153012, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.05032, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.079716, "regime_survival": 0.111111, "best_return": 0.276646, "worst_return": -0.278867, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.047651, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.047543, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.654615, 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211.171461 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 222.220001, "volume": 26202, "typical_volume": 19330.15, "trend": 213.388999, "fair_value": 261.33391, "relative_strength": -3.368403, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.074506, "energy": 31.991602, "activity_lines": [ 224.022668, 220.867454, 213.828047, 211.703074 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 223.970001, "volume": 16370, "typical_volume": 19612.85, "trend": 212.961332, "fair_value": 261.313846, "relative_strength": 0.330267, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.144738, "energy": 33.42183, "activity_lines": [ 224.682002, 221.890909, 215.524094, 212.385719 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 225.720001, "volume": 36308, "typical_volume": 20928.15, "trend": 212.430999, "fair_value": 261.321025, "relative_strength": -0.918541, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.343104, "energy": 43.824659, "activity_lines": [ 225.475334, 222.917091, 217.277523, 213.208859 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 219.990005, "volume": 6829, "typical_volume": 20441.5, "trend": 212.022999, "fair_value": 261.274166, "relative_strength": -3.743042, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.795505, "energy": 26.615712, "activity_lines": [ 223.641336, 222.629638, 218.314762, 213.696537 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }