{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "365a4f2b-34b0-479c-9e23-a33f47467cfd",
    "symbol": "XCLR",
    "name": "GLOBAL X FDS S&P 500 COLLAR 95-110 ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 75.634,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.267,
    "architecture_energy": 60.575,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.764,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.597,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.09,
        "rotation_up": 57.23,
        "upward_expansion": 79.82,
        "deceleration": 65.35,
        "rotation_down": 23.98,
        "downward_expansion": 8.82
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        27.68318,
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        27.191173
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 28.2511,
    "trend_reference": 27.018259,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.04563,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 23.977324,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.178242,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.240592,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.037884,
    "excess_performance": -0.087741,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04563,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007713,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.178242,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009166,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.062406,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013404,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037884,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.634805,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1599,
      "relative_activity": 0.268219,
      "balance": 0.634805,
      "dry_up": 1.912925,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
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    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01077,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.093082,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.123407
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 23.977324,
      "structural_low": 25.1477,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.013535,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003243,
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        "best_return": 0.058175,
        "worst_return": -0.035791,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.07309,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.063736,
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "direction": 36.345783,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 23.493733,
        "relative_strength": -6.034044,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": -5.950839,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 59.460573,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 5673.65,
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        "fair_value": 23.711026,
        "relative_strength": -6.287085,
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 5315.05,
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        "fair_value": 23.765254,
        "relative_strength": -6.430926,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.980052,
        "energy": 71.402102,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 1396,
        "typical_volume": 5072.5,
        "trend": 26.973171,
        "fair_value": 23.816807,
        "relative_strength": -5.786176,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.596751,
        "energy": 56.198376,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.498396,
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          27.064172
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 27.2514,
        "volume": 35966,
        "typical_volume": 6571.4,
        "trend": 26.973049,
        "fair_value": 23.866029,
        "relative_strength": -5.74221,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.965648,
        "energy": 44.190256,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.42474,
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          27.082122
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 27.4,
        "volume": 6655,
        "typical_volume": 6419.4,
        "trend": 26.987759,
        "fair_value": 23.918665,
        "relative_strength": -6.060347,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.325313,
        "energy": 38.504941,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.4197,
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          27.300215,
          27.109667
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 28.2511,
        "volume": 1599,
        "typical_volume": 5961.55,
        "trend": 27.018259,
        "fair_value": 23.977324,
        "relative_strength": -6.240592,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.267225,
        "energy": 60.574786,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}