{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "365bd22f-d585-4725-9345-d6733015bc2c",
    "symbol": "HNST",
    "name": "Honest Company Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.752,
    "architecture_energy": 70.862,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.513,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.85,
        "rotation_up": 71.45,
        "upward_expansion": 83.01,
        "deceleration": 54.01,
        "rotation_down": 12.66,
        "downward_expansion": 12.01
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.329333,
        4.078909,
        3.804667,
        3.565957
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 5.46,
    "trend_reference": 3.233333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.68866,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.689551,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.479855,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 47.019032,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 1.384279,
    "excess_performance": 1.196826,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.68866,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.143396,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.479855,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.442268,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.47019,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.622741,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.384279,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.617288,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 30848887,
      "relative_activity": 3.634133,
      "balance": 1.617288,
      "dry_up": 1.41841,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.091389,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.763081,
      "from_high_reference": -0.065068,
      "from_low_reference": 1.637681
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.233333,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.689551,
      "structural_low": 2.07,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.001124,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016402,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.361596,
        "worst_return": -0.248021,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.090818,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.054964,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.775161,
        "worst_return": -0.413953,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.026557,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.10189,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.156317,
        "worst_return": -0.103203,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.458777,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.21848,
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        "best_return": 1.512456,
        "worst_return": -0.594901,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.078292,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.129747,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 7808016.05,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 62.303997,
        "energy": 59.142797,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 7497286.45,
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        "fair_value": 3.649231,
        "relative_strength": 6.983293,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 52.97428,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.65,
        "volume": 5137861,
        "typical_volume": 7272401.95,
        "trend": 3.137333,
        "fair_value": 3.66359,
        "relative_strength": 3.550199,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.676975,
        "energy": 40.092306,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.788,
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          3.612476,
          3.416108
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.46,
        "volume": 30848887,
        "typical_volume": 8488652.15,
        "trend": 3.233333,
        "fair_value": 3.689551,
        "relative_strength": 47.019032,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.751573,
        "energy": 70.861714,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}