{ "ticker": { "uuid": "36653922-b770-46fa-8cc9-e706b6ff14d0", "symbol": "USCC", "name": "Global X S&P 500 Covered Call ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 82.775, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.623, "architecture_energy": 53.577, "architecture_maturity": 81.692, "architecture_confidence": 62.336, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.84, "rotation_up": 50.36, "upward_expansion": 77.49, "deceleration": 68.56, "rotation_down": 28.59, "downward_expansion": 13.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.785245, 20.739625, 20.471159, 20.107963 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 21.08, "trend_reference": 19.703148, "distance_from_trend": 0.06988, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.625841, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.267906, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.716612, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.103783, "excess_performance": -0.016638, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.06988, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029048, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.267906, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023207, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.027166, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013489, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.103783, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.978814, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 36800, "relative_activity": 0.596676, "balance": 4.978814, "dry_up": 1.02878, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020233, "annualized_volatility": 0.108429, "from_high_reference": -0.007065, "from_low_reference": 0.192649 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.703148, "fair_value_reference": 16.625841, "structural_low": 18.067514, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 46, "median_return": 0.017308, "positive_rate": 0.673913, "directional_follow_through": 0.673913, "median_excess_return": 0.002296, "regime_survival": 0.869565, "best_return": 0.041154, "worst_return": -0.059049, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.026479, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.004482, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.109209, "worst_return": -0.086992, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.058942, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.022036, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.166165, "worst_return": -0.124375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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64.336008, "energy": 61.546095, "activity_lines": [ 20.729449, 20.626378, 20.208525, 19.880663 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.542, "volume": 58900, "typical_volume": 63430.0, "trend": 19.590824, "fair_value": 16.522971, "relative_strength": -2.841713, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.788819, "energy": 55.67281, "activity_lines": [ 20.665128, 20.631962, 20.283826, 19.945337 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.68, "volume": 88400, "typical_volume": 62445.0, "trend": 19.648471, "fair_value": 16.573147, "relative_strength": -1.613606, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.019394, "energy": 48.641683, "activity_lines": [ 20.666029, 20.653238, 20.363365, 20.015606 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.08, "volume": 36800, "typical_volume": 61675.0, "trend": 19.703148, "fair_value": 16.625841, "relative_strength": -2.716612, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.622904, "energy": 53.577418, "activity_lines": [ 20.785245, 20.739625, 20.471159, 20.107963 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }