{ "ticker": { "uuid": "367074cb-75aa-4136-9069-7e9562905117", "symbol": "300966", "name": "Hubei Goto Biopharm Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 15.372, "architecture_energy": 21.891, "architecture_maturity": 41.273, "architecture_confidence": 88.921, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.02, "rotation_up": 26.02, "upward_expansion": 47.66, "deceleration": 79.44, "rotation_down": 41.33, "downward_expansion": 32.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.047566, 26.280208, 26.381283, 25.388511 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 26.85, "trend_reference": 24.060993, "distance_from_trend": 0.115914, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.071854, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.337694, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 12.827823, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.277963, "excess_performance": 0.270563, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.115914, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085263, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.337694, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080978, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.128278, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045882, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.277963, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.489172, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20282661, "relative_activity": 1.094753, "balance": 0.489172, "dry_up": 1.266355, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.125624, "annualized_volatility": 0.48923, "from_high_reference": -0.174601, "from_low_reference": 0.456074 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.060993, "fair_value_reference": 20.071854, "structural_low": 18.440001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.024206, "positive_rate": 0.315789, "directional_follow_through": 0.315789, "median_excess_return": -0.014654, "regime_survival": 0.526316, "best_return": 0.318267, "worst_return": -0.216508, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.001645, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.047535, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.275663, "worst_return": -0.34329, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.156841, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.118885, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.316418, "worst_return": -0.387484, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"energy": 55.468448, "activity_lines": [ 29.249443, 28.327103, 26.549374, 25.143262 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 26.059999, "volume": 31408204, "typical_volume": 16738100.0, "trend": 23.647993, "fair_value": 20.035628, "relative_strength": 13.331598, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.213307, "energy": 43.358102, "activity_lines": [ 28.441456, 27.991651, 26.669042, 25.312961 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.82, "volume": 26822389, "typical_volume": 17564397.15, "trend": 23.72866, "fair_value": 20.038964, "relative_strength": -1.104964, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.639781, "energy": 15.915912, "activity_lines": [ 26.584735, 27.102382, 26.4579, 25.259542 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.700001, "volume": 15334653, "typical_volume": 17908968.05, "trend": 23.822327, "fair_value": 20.042172, "relative_strength": -0.105187, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.181014, "energy": 16.363995, "activity_lines": [ 24.943267, 26.269114, 26.225473, 25.193177 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.85, "volume": 20282661, "typical_volume": 18527165.15, "trend": 24.060993, "fair_value": 20.071854, "relative_strength": 12.827823, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.371915, "energy": 21.891455, "activity_lines": [ 25.047566, 26.280208, 26.381283, 25.388511 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }