{ "ticker": { "uuid": "36739456-43e0-4a4b-96b0-3268b58f50e2", "symbol": "8119", "name": "Clientron Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 59.625, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 3.622, "architecture_energy": 22.54, "architecture_maturity": 32.594, "architecture_confidence": 59.889, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.98, "rotation_up": 20.46, "upward_expansion": 46.22, "deceleration": 68.99, "rotation_down": 33.86, "downward_expansion": 40.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.637333, 9.726545, 10.235048, 10.058516 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 9.96, "trend_reference": 9.563, "distance_from_trend": 0.041514, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.165256, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.181275, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.368139, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.293506, "excess_performance": -0.147866, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.041514, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067736, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.181275, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02344, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.223681, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039909, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.293506, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.508439, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 359636, "relative_activity": 0.144408, "balance": 0.508439, "dry_up": 0.106499, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.111214, "annualized_volatility": 0.737751, "from_high_reference": -0.46738, "from_low_reference": 0.464706 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.563, "fair_value_reference": 12.165256, "structural_low": 7.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.016767, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": 0.00537, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.028226, "worst_return": -0.139091, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.048575, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.045068, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.032258, "worst_return": -0.064892, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.192267, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.126583, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.191999, "worst_return": -0.192535, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"typical_volume": 2608494.4, "trend": 9.339, "fair_value": 12.378397, "relative_strength": -25.000484, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.125598, "energy": 12.304455, "activity_lines": [ 9.802667, 10.014364, 10.44781, 10.023462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.33, "volume": 242691, "typical_volume": 2587255.35, "trend": 9.401667, "fair_value": 12.303269, "relative_strength": -24.439216, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -1.075165, "energy": 20.783821, "activity_lines": [ 9.642, 9.842182, 10.360714, 10.022882 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.46, "volume": 96539, "typical_volume": 2535409.25, "trend": 9.466, "fair_value": 12.231538, "relative_strength": -24.410723, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.032354, "energy": 26.094344, "activity_lines": [ 9.556, 9.721273, 10.277905, 10.026645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 9.96, "volume": 359636, "typical_volume": 2490409.7, "trend": 9.563, "fair_value": 12.165256, "relative_strength": -22.368139, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.622042, "energy": 22.539845, "activity_lines": [ 9.637333, 9.726545, 10.235048, 10.058516 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }