{ "ticker": { "uuid": "367b1d2e-48f5-403b-874d-e642455c8031", "symbol": "605183", "name": "Quechen Silicon Chemical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.795, "architecture_energy": 61.208, "architecture_maturity": 54.941, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.57, "rotation_up": 26.38, "upward_expansion": 11.54, "deceleration": 47.72, "rotation_down": 55.1, "downward_expansion": 84.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.189333, 14.443031, 15.148688, 16.331814 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 14.34, "trend_reference": 17.91873, "distance_from_trend": -0.19972, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.671492, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.139849, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.106919, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.3419, "excess_performance": -0.298696, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.19972, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082463, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.139849, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.147017, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.231069, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033035, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.3419, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.475223, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7063286, "relative_activity": 0.774545, "balance": 0.475223, "dry_up": 0.829433, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076129, "annualized_volatility": 0.39077, "from_high_reference": -0.400502, "from_low_reference": 0.06301 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.91873, "fair_value_reference": 16.671492, "structural_low": 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"typical_volume": 10763006.25, "trend": 18.276397, "fair_value": 16.705063, "relative_strength": -26.031354, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.642009, "energy": 66.780079, "activity_lines": [ 14.188, 14.578118, 15.558944, 16.816403 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.53, "volume": 6989256, "typical_volume": 9949615.15, "trend": 18.10473, "fair_value": 16.688825, "relative_strength": -20.629209, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.824331, "energy": 69.899338, "activity_lines": [ 14.169333, 14.517367, 15.342459, 16.5747 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.34, "volume": 7063286, "typical_volume": 9119271.9, "trend": 17.91873, "fair_value": 16.671492, "relative_strength": -23.106919, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.795283, "energy": 61.207821, "activity_lines": [ 14.189333, 14.443031, 15.148688, 16.331814 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }