{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3686f24b-2241-4d58-a00d-c88ad5c3e055",
    "symbol": "FINS",
    "name": "Angel Oak Financial Strategies Income Term Trust",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 90.362,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -0.422,
    "architecture_energy": 3.433,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.278,
    "architecture_confidence": 55.312,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 63.54,
        "rotation_up": 28.69,
        "upward_expansion": 28.56,
        "deceleration": 55.53,
        "rotation_down": 36.62,
        "downward_expansion": 26.23
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        12.5703,
        12.588239,
        12.60228,
        12.577114
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 12.59,
    "trend_reference": 12.570952,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.001515,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 11.10459,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.133765,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -9.755379,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.010965,
    "excess_performance": -0.13659,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001515,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007203,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.133765,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047687,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.097554,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024953,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010965,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.819324,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 235246,
      "relative_activity": 1.272126,
      "balance": 0.819324,
      "dry_up": 1.169939,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024537,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.082503,
      "from_high_reference": -0.030149,
      "from_low_reference": 0.059858
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.570952,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.10459,
      "structural_low": 12.051216,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.004536,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008731,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.026485,
        "worst_return": -0.043729,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.004536,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0282,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.076253,
        "worst_return": -0.103739,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.012439,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.064859,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.101086,
        "worst_return": -0.079863,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.096324,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.160391,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.192859,
        "worst_return": -0.119067,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.049126,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.020067,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.024928,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.039269,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.017504,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.04317,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.005588,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.018605,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
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        "return": 0.005241,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.008006,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.031311,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "typical_volume": 308415.2,
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        "fair_value": 10.700455,
        "relative_strength": -4.995569,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 257211.0,
        "trend": 12.432133,
        "fair_value": 10.778243,
        "relative_strength": -7.26009,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "fair_value": 10.804425,
        "relative_strength": -7.935668,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.66652,
        "energy": 49.241546,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 247804.95,
        "trend": 12.462274,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 50.364601,
        "energy": 32.051702,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 244476.65,
        "trend": 12.481052,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 238125.6,
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        "fair_value": 10.882233,
        "relative_strength": -7.091148,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.742795,
        "energy": 22.873548,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 129167,
        "typical_volume": 231344.45,
        "trend": 12.504206,
        "fair_value": 10.905771,
        "relative_strength": -7.705601,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.234138,
        "energy": 15.982939,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 12.518547,
        "fair_value": 10.930163,
        "relative_strength": -8.551163,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 12.16424,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 233834,
        "typical_volume": 225179.25,
        "trend": 12.521941,
        "fair_value": 10.954994,
        "relative_strength": -6.047871,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 22.881178,
        "energy": 13.19047,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 12.704595,
        "volume": 182243,
        "typical_volume": 222557.4,
        "trend": 12.535667,
        "fair_value": 10.981018,
        "relative_strength": -6.530432,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 15.521826,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 12.714505,
        "volume": 223251,
        "typical_volume": 224989.45,
        "trend": 12.552103,
        "fair_value": 11.006656,
        "relative_strength": -7.513235,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.54395,
        "energy": 19.13906,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.636915,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 12.66,
        "volume": 231973,
        "typical_volume": 213369.1,
        "trend": 12.565461,
        "fair_value": 11.031993,
        "relative_strength": -6.27691,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.482294,
        "energy": 22.488206,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.656036,
          12.630977,
          12.603906,
          12.58302
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 12.51,
        "volume": 236035,
        "typical_volume": 190933.55,
        "trend": 12.56813,
        "fair_value": 11.056037,
        "relative_strength": -6.670973,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.695837,
        "energy": 16.353877,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.617928,
          12.610315,
          12.601503,
          12.579442
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.51,
        "volume": 162143,
        "typical_volume": 187559.4,
        "trend": 12.567955,
        "fair_value": 11.080506,
        "relative_strength": -7.443562,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 12.827665,
        "energy": 5.232018,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.58024,
          12.591761,
          12.598605,
          12.575692
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 12.59,
        "volume": 235246,
        "typical_volume": 184923.55,
        "trend": 12.570952,
        "fair_value": 11.10459,
        "relative_strength": -9.755379,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -0.421788,
        "energy": 3.433442,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.5703,
          12.588239,
          12.60228,
          12.577114
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}