{ "ticker": { "uuid": "368d8508-346b-4537-a836-ad138b12f514", "symbol": "STIM", "name": "Neuronetics Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 78.084, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.043, "architecture_energy": 77.498, "architecture_maturity": 50.0, "architecture_confidence": 72.361, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.15, "rotation_up": 79.49, "upward_expansion": 91.63, "deceleration": 41.93, "rotation_down": 8.64, "downward_expansion": 15.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.000667, 1.771091, 1.622452, 1.572151 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2.38, "trend_reference": 1.562667, "distance_from_trend": 0.523038, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.339516, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.017304, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.61121, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.525641, "excess_performance": 0.338187, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.523038, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004248, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.017304, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.326696, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.076112, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.535489, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.525641, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.852156, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6840280, "relative_activity": 0.671019, "balance": 0.852156, "dry_up": 1.07707, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.157359, "annualized_volatility": 0.982536, "from_high_reference": -0.445221, "from_low_reference": 1.975 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.562667, "fair_value_reference": 2.339516, "structural_low": 0.8, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.064371, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.080514, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.72905, "worst_return": -0.437037, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.075761, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.130728, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 3.035714, "worst_return": -0.605926, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.083664, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.080585, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 2.383929, "worst_return": -0.736296, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.608939, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.567694, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.357143, "worst_return": -0.742963, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-01-12", "end": "2024-04-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.148026, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-05-03", "end": "2024-05-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.427822, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-06-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.046875, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-28", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.294444, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.321429, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.637584, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.222581, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.178191, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.07346, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.051075, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.214706, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.002994, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.479876, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.178218, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 1.68, "volume": 758878, "typical_volume": 766111.25, "trend": 3.017333, "fair_value": 6.387564, "relative_strength": -62.276127, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established 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"trend": 1.524, "fair_value": 2.336696, "relative_strength": -30.190408, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 0.090976, "energy": 8.987194, "activity_lines": [ 1.552, 1.458, 1.46419, 1.47671 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.73, "volume": 12927452, "typical_volume": 10780070.2, "trend": 1.534333, "fair_value": 2.335157, "relative_strength": -21.794585, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.880764, "energy": 22.5311, "activity_lines": [ 1.638, 1.518, 1.490571, 1.49 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.98, "volume": 4809692, "typical_volume": 10822018.55, "trend": 1.552333, "fair_value": 2.335542, "relative_strength": -8.179706, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.460343, "energy": 46.777672, "activity_lines": [ 1.774, 1.615273, 1.539095, 1.518753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.38, "volume": 6840280, "typical_volume": 10193862.55, "trend": 1.562667, "fair_value": 2.339516, "relative_strength": 7.61121, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.042531, "energy": 77.498155, "activity_lines": [ 2.000667, 1.771091, 1.622452, 1.572151 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }