{ "ticker": { "uuid": "36976f9d-9f8b-4065-944d-a3a9712c3788", "symbol": "MLSDN", "name": "La Savonnerie De Nyons", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 64.979, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.484, "architecture_energy": 21.899, "architecture_maturity": 47.242, "architecture_confidence": 80.215, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.31, "rotation_up": 24.09, "upward_expansion": 55.2, "deceleration": 90.5, "rotation_down": 29.56, "downward_expansion": 18.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.08, 31.354895, 30.839562, 30.611131 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 31.0, "trend_reference": 30.296893, "distance_from_trend": 0.023207, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.72457, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.079215, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.416366, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.033333, "excess_performance": -0.019978, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.023207, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019243, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.079215, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.110627, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.024164, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032733, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.033333, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.994638, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 249, "relative_activity": 2.627968, "balance": 0.994638, "dry_up": 1.266491, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033818, "annualized_volatility": 0.273068, "from_high_reference": -0.08284, "from_low_reference": 0.192308 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.296893, "fair_value_reference": 28.72457, "structural_low": 27.200548, "invalidation": "A 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"color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.102941, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.033333, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.083333, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.058064, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.042234, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 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29.877344, "fair_value": 28.569634, "relative_strength": 4.299977, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.024683, "energy": 35.414898, "activity_lines": [ 30.87106, 30.011694, 29.922125, 29.875375 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 31.986486, "volume": 20, "typical_volume": 151.4, "trend": 29.910226, "fair_value": 28.584659, "relative_strength": 4.841707, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.939289, "energy": 70.702931, "activity_lines": [ 31.407945, 30.454322, 30.112646, 30.011449 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 31.799999, "volume": 14, "typical_volume": 142.35, "trend": 29.990226, "fair_value": 28.596114, "relative_strength": 4.716267, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.058479, "energy": 79.142233, "activity_lines": [ 31.691308, 30.81238, 30.27309, 30.133369 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 32.200001, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 128.9, "trend": 30.02356, "fair_value": 28.630448, "relative_strength": 4.53212, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.241669, "energy": 80.134344, "activity_lines": [ 31.954617, 31.195893, 30.463058, 30.275935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 31.799999, "volume": 139, "typical_volume": 133.85, "trend": 30.090226, "fair_value": 28.659828, "relative_strength": 5.037928, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.097704, "energy": 71.687832, "activity_lines": [ 31.917308, 31.429711, 30.604454, 30.390544 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 30.6, "volume": 216, "typical_volume": 144.6, "trend": 30.110226, "fair_value": 28.681515, "relative_strength": 0.97321, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.965708, "energy": 38.39195, "activity_lines": [ 31.492432, 31.406996, 30.62204, 30.423433 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.4, "volume": 11, "typical_volume": 140.15, "trend": 30.156893, "fair_value": 28.709526, "relative_strength": 3.046848, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.12206, "energy": 29.369444, "activity_lines": [ 31.4, 31.474894, 30.718675, 30.506644 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.0, "volume": 4, "typical_volume": 124.55, "trend": 30.22356, "fair_value": 28.717048, "relative_strength": 0.015654, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.738003, "energy": 20.831014, "activity_lines": [ 31.213333, 31.428538, 30.775309, 30.561038 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.0, "volume": 249, "typical_volume": 94.75, "trend": 30.296893, "fair_value": 28.72457, "relative_strength": -2.416366, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.483545, "energy": 21.899487, "activity_lines": [ 31.08, 31.354895, 30.839562, 30.611131 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }