{ "ticker": { "uuid": "369e9a9a-3c45-4350-8ae0-f98aa94c78d9", "symbol": "FAIRCHEMOR", "name": "Fairchem Organics Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.617, "architecture_energy": 80.133, "architecture_maturity": 20.951, "architecture_confidence": 87.127, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.02, "rotation_up": 76.93, "upward_expansion": 94.93, "deceleration": 42.91, "rotation_down": 9.95, "downward_expansion": 19.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 756.557011, 722.257443, 671.444086, 640.24367 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 749.950012, "trend_reference": 618.828493, "distance_from_trend": 0.211887, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 972.101763, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.228527, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.548491, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.215774, "excess_performance": 0.259483, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.211887, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00242, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.228527, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.161948, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.125485, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.247447, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.215774, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.552479, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 68901, "relative_activity": 0.952318, "balance": 2.552479, "dry_up": 2.034264, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077178, "annualized_volatility": 0.410694, "from_high_reference": -0.137046, "from_low_reference": 0.752015 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 618.828493, "fair_value_reference": 972.101763, "structural_low": 428.049988, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.038351, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.042747, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.086602, "worst_return": -0.182833, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.098192, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.114833, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.019528, "worst_return": -0.27249, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.114119, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.148588, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.079952, "worst_return": -0.49154, "sufficient": false }, { 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722.716333, 683.133986, 639.56961, 620.052723 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 797.099976, "volume": 333797, "typical_volume": 74008.15, "trend": 617.54516, "fair_value": 973.729106, "relative_strength": 20.149865, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.726706, "energy": 89.921326, "activity_lines": [ 752.94836, 708.647529, 658.388632, 631.701421 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 749.950012, "volume": 68901, "typical_volume": 72350.85, "trend": 618.828493, "fair_value": 972.101763, "relative_strength": 12.548491, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.616934, "energy": 80.133128, "activity_lines": [ 756.557011, 722.257443, 671.444086, 640.24367 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }