{ "ticker": { "uuid": "36bcc6eb-0202-43b0-a23e-2c8c53c6137e", "symbol": "MANAKSTEEL", "name": "Manaksia Steels Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.431, "architecture_energy": 48.784, "architecture_maturity": 40.151, "architecture_confidence": 92.195, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.12, "rotation_up": 56.24, "upward_expansion": 79.06, "deceleration": 58.19, "rotation_down": 22.6, "downward_expansion": 5.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 75.850666, 74.828, 71.730001, 68.512818 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 84.43, "trend_reference": 64.998333, "distance_from_trend": 0.298956, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 59.774423, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.412477, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 33.925542, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.357614, "excess_performance": 0.401323, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.298956, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051991, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.412477, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.255815, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.339255, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.219048, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.357614, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.811159, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 967896, "relative_activity": 2.804979, "balance": 2.811159, "dry_up": 1.064973, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082736, "annualized_volatility": 0.566035, "from_high_reference": -0.060845, "from_low_reference": 0.871647 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 64.998333, "fair_value_reference": 59.774423, "structural_low": 45.110001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.039827, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": -0.026326, "regime_survival": 0.526316, "best_return": 0.258419, "worst_return": -0.35253, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.111475, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.095434, "regime_survival": 0.111111, "best_return": 0.017798, "worst_return": -0.275131, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.010757, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.035691, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.856347, "worst_return": -0.284223, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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16.884214, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.034952, "energy": 64.684635, "activity_lines": [ 74.446668, 73.021092, 69.80462, 66.948345 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 68.379997, "volume": 271447, "typical_volume": 299830.35, "trend": 64.272667, "fair_value": 59.521026, "relative_strength": 10.025561, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.301738, "energy": 33.315089, "activity_lines": [ 72.290666, 72.490364, 70.035953, 67.212344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 84.43, "volume": 967896, "typical_volume": 345063.5, "trend": 64.998333, "fair_value": 59.774423, "relative_strength": 33.925542, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.430543, "energy": 48.784009, "activity_lines": [ 75.850666, 74.828, 71.730001, 68.512818 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }