{ "ticker": { "uuid": "36cd5002-009f-4b92-b109-1c8c740c497e", "symbol": "603655", "name": "Changzhou Langbo Sealing Technologies Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.05, "architecture_energy": 67.78, "architecture_maturity": 31.986, "architecture_confidence": 93.282, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.26, "rotation_up": 16.12, "upward_expansion": 14.32, "deceleration": 41.8, "rotation_down": 65.81, "downward_expansion": 87.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.109334, 28.322286, 32.265666, 34.602505 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 30.040001, "trend_reference": 37.541683, "distance_from_trend": -0.199823, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.19533, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.146769, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.150261, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.34065, "excess_performance": -0.297446, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.199823, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064854, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.146769, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.532596, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.191503, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.275909, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.34065, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.397435, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6426600, "relative_activity": 0.69525, "balance": 0.397435, "dry_up": 0.761945, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.144844, "annualized_volatility": 0.547942, "from_high_reference": -0.41668, "from_low_reference": 0.361124 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.541683, "fair_value_reference": 26.19533, "structural_low": 22.07, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.01258, "positive_rate": 0.47619, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": 0.002538, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.338217, "worst_return": -0.3125, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.085055, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.021033, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.497505, "worst_return": -0.310206, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.050188, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.039286, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.719659, "worst_return": -0.368876, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.125656, "energy": 78.210739, "activity_lines": [ 29.115333, 31.267803, 35.099435, 36.888272 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.6, "volume": 9533700, "typical_volume": 9794822.2, "trend": 38.332683, "fair_value": 26.150284, "relative_strength": -32.005345, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.455296, "energy": 78.361031, "activity_lines": [ 27.389333, 29.646044, 33.901719, 35.977754 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.91, "volume": 5643700, "typical_volume": 9721122.2, "trend": 37.933683, "fair_value": 26.15491, "relative_strength": -31.196412, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.768773, "energy": 85.602407, "activity_lines": [ 26.265333, 28.371076, 32.803478, 35.111775 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.040001, "volume": 6426600, "typical_volume": 9243582.2, "trend": 37.541683, "fair_value": 26.19533, "relative_strength": -19.150261, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.049835, "energy": 67.779805, "activity_lines": [ 27.109334, 28.322286, 32.265666, 34.602505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }