{ "ticker": { "uuid": "36e8224d-971c-4d38-ba50-5dce072adab1", "symbol": "002285", "name": "Shenzhen Worldunion Group Incorporated", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.113, "architecture_energy": 59.819, "architecture_maturity": 45.873, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.53, "rotation_up": 25.52, "upward_expansion": 10.94, "deceleration": 52.76, "rotation_down": 55.86, "downward_expansion": 84.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.062667, 2.092545, 2.349143, 2.511484 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.12, "trend_reference": 2.679667, "distance_from_trend": -0.208857, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.457564, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.137357, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.759978, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.217712, "excess_performance": -0.225112, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.208857, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079995, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.137357, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.404897, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.2276, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.198003, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.217712, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.354414, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 153212211, "relative_activity": 0.744887, "balance": 0.354414, "dry_up": 0.966065, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105588, "annualized_volatility": 0.396794, "from_high_reference": -0.422343, "from_low_reference": 0.115789 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.679667, "fair_value_reference": 2.457564, "structural_low": 1.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.40625, "directional_follow_through": 0.46875, "median_excess_return": 0.001019, "regime_survival": 0.78125, "best_return": 0.284024, "worst_return": -0.258065, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.030508, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.026921, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.677419, "worst_return": -0.252918, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.103245, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.105094, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.735849, "worst_return": -0.33209, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"down", "direction": -72.325729, "energy": 87.460245, "activity_lines": [ 2.129333, 2.319273, 2.594857, 2.696409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.0, "volume": 222913827, "typical_volume": 241791318.45, "trend": 2.781, "fair_value": 2.468654, "relative_strength": -25.512928, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.002519, "energy": 89.48874, "activity_lines": [ 2.068667, 2.225273, 2.523, 2.643527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.95, "volume": 229860882, "typical_volume": 241720059.4, "trend": 2.731667, "fair_value": 2.464551, "relative_strength": -27.172468, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.168635, "energy": 88.065439, "activity_lines": [ 2.018, 2.143091, 2.450524, 2.589914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.1, "volume": 188834083, "typical_volume": 239239594.65, "trend": 2.704, "fair_value": 2.461603, "relative_strength": -19.898442, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.632646, "energy": 70.981224, "activity_lines": [ 2.037333, 2.109273, 2.396762, 2.549161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.12, "volume": 153212211, "typical_volume": 205685262.65, "trend": 2.679667, "fair_value": 2.457564, "relative_strength": -22.759978, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.113423, "energy": 59.819362, "activity_lines": [ 2.062667, 2.092545, 2.349143, 2.511484 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }