{ "ticker": { "uuid": "36eaa97f-87fd-411f-9957-c9e1243c73c4", "symbol": "002024", "name": "Suning.com Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.894, "architecture_energy": 41.083, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 84.505, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.62, "rotation_up": 26.98, "upward_expansion": 5.71, "deceleration": 59.95, "rotation_down": 44.04, "downward_expansion": 76.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.202667, 1.206, 1.229095, 1.276731 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.22, "trend_reference": 1.358667, "distance_from_trend": -0.102061, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.688846, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.277613, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.265572, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.212903, "excess_performance": -0.220303, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.102061, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111983, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.277613, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024652, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.242656, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.146254, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.212903, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.687839, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 131778778, "relative_activity": 0.991576, "balance": 0.687839, "dry_up": 0.914427, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058008, "annualized_volatility": 0.269647, "from_high_reference": -0.393035, "from_low_reference": 0.070175 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.358667, "fair_value_reference": 1.688846, "structural_low": 1.14, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 47, "median_return": -0.02649, "positive_rate": 0.276596, "directional_follow_through": 0.659574, "median_excess_return": -0.032409, "regime_survival": 0.914894, "best_return": 0.138686, "worst_return": -0.260062, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.110294, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.103803, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.301136, "worst_return": -0.371257, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.179198, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.268879, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.785714, "worst_return": -0.490291, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-20", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.056738, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.160256, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.068293, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.079602, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.15625, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.038251, 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"typical_volume": 137787921.65, "trend": 1.391667, "fair_value": 1.698974, "relative_strength": -26.676211, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.631001, "energy": 51.224375, "activity_lines": [ 1.194667, 1.206182, 1.240429, 1.29843 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.21, "volume": 120741109, "typical_volume": 138758276.8, "trend": 1.374667, "fair_value": 1.693846, "relative_strength": -21.992278, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.509029, "energy": 46.697016, "activity_lines": [ 1.198667, 1.205273, 1.233571, 1.28671 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.22, "volume": 131778778, "typical_volume": 132898314.3, "trend": 1.358667, "fair_value": 1.688846, "relative_strength": -24.265572, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.894048, "energy": 41.083172, "activity_lines": [ 1.202667, 1.206, 1.229095, 1.276731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }