{ "ticker": { "uuid": "36fb3dc4-1d1b-421e-9835-0dbadc4b7a1c", "symbol": "000060", "name": "Shenzhen Zhongjin Lingnan Nonfemet Co. Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 54.931, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.652, "architecture_energy": 58.84, "architecture_maturity": 4.254, "architecture_confidence": 67.17, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.68, "rotation_up": 9.03, "upward_expansion": 12.01, "deceleration": 38.42, "rotation_down": 65.65, "downward_expansion": 83.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.407333, 6.676963, 6.940749, 6.960477 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.81, "trend_reference": 7.007448, "distance_from_trend": -0.028177, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.142009, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.324385, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.843235, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.115584, "excess_performance": -0.122984, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.028177, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073938, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.324385, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.282716, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.048432, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.096877, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.115584, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.205039, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 841901804, "relative_activity": 1.146743, "balance": 1.205039, "dry_up": 0.82541, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108153, "annualized_volatility": 0.546829, "from_high_reference": -0.261388, "from_low_reference": 0.448936 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.007448, "fair_value_reference": 5.142009, "structural_low": 5.71, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.018271, "positive_rate": 0.611111, "directional_follow_through": 0.388889, "median_excess_return": 0.003702, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.140097, "worst_return": -0.105789, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.029279, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.013971, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.17284, "worst_return": -0.105263, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.135803, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.039834, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.259455, "worst_return": -0.084299, "sufficient": true }, 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"activity_lines": [ 6.398348, 6.868361, 7.006925, 7.012922 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.31, "volume": 436930982, "typical_volume": 724645280.9, "trend": 6.975448, "fair_value": 5.133355, "relative_strength": 2.58073, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.086062, "energy": 60.025929, "activity_lines": [ 6.275977, 6.715753, 6.947956, 6.971151 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.81, "volume": 841901804, "typical_volume": 734167780.3, "trend": 7.007448, "fair_value": 5.142009, "relative_strength": 4.843235, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.651738, "energy": 58.840308, "activity_lines": [ 6.407333, 6.676963, 6.940749, 6.960477 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }