{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3703d25a-09d6-44bf-bdbd-7216beeec81d", "symbol": "600520", "name": "WenYi Trinity Technology Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -19.513, "architecture_energy": 35.281, "architecture_maturity": 24.116, "architecture_confidence": 58.131, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.23, "rotation_up": 19.42, "upward_expansion": 21.47, "deceleration": 64.55, "rotation_down": 64.94, "downward_expansion": 41.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.414, 27.728182, 28.815857, 28.493161 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 24.73, "trend_reference": 28.135, "distance_from_trend": -0.121024, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.849679, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.043315, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.964687, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.084074, "excess_performance": -0.04087, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.121024, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.043315, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.257429, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.109647, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088947, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.084074, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.937333, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52244301, "relative_activity": 1.027046, "balance": 0.937333, "dry_up": 1.301589, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.201966, "annualized_volatility": 0.694388, "from_high_reference": -0.381595, "from_low_reference": 0.215233 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.135, "fair_value_reference": 25.849679, "structural_low": 20.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.032838, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.051776, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.775109, "worst_return": -0.223452, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.280348, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.256284, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.515313, "worst_return": 0.075529, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.494833, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.536477, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.111851, "worst_return": 0.02736, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.010638, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.071259, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.030227, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.03037, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.044813, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.105107, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.281498, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.012559, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.292214, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-07-28", "close": 14.24, "volume": 44092827, "typical_volume": 49541875.4, "trend": 15.181667, "fair_value": 10.222051, "relative_strength": -2.20329, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.844073, "energy": 13.763583, "activity_lines": [ 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"up", "direction": 63.105873, "energy": 71.488998, "activity_lines": [ 34.640666, 32.847272, 30.716381, 29.619247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 25.99, "volume": 71076131, "typical_volume": 44655361.9, "trend": 28.316333, "fair_value": 25.694808, "relative_strength": -3.799113, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.663298, "energy": 30.089595, "activity_lines": [ 32.194, 31.800363, 30.417571, 29.469247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 23.860001, "volume": 73376500, "typical_volume": 47305521.9, "trend": 28.272333, "fair_value": 25.752436, "relative_strength": -12.354278, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.189957, "energy": 9.247879, "activity_lines": [ 29.097333, 30.436, 29.927095, 29.181742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.0, "volume": 68142697, "typical_volume": 49350631.65, "trend": 28.130667, "fair_value": 25.787179, "relative_strength": -22.656635, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.815734, "energy": 36.182539, "activity_lines": [ 25.634, 28.657273, 29.179524, 28.712559 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.73, "volume": 52244301, "typical_volume": 50868506.35, "trend": 28.135, "fair_value": 25.849679, "relative_strength": -10.964687, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.513074, "energy": 35.281379, "activity_lines": [ 24.414, 27.728182, 28.815857, 28.493161 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }