{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "373b60db-abef-4c2f-88c3-2bed20bbf5cc",
    "symbol": "AAD",
    "name": "Amadeus FiRe AG",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -33.187,
    "architecture_energy": 19.851,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.628,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.1,
        "rotation_up": 31.31,
        "upward_expansion": 21.38,
        "deceleration": 44.16,
        "rotation_down": 23.18,
        "downward_expansion": 55.38
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        22.283334,
        21.8,
        22.438095,
        23.468495
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 21.950001,
    "trend_reference": 26.145,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.160451,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 71.853908,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.694519,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -53.051093,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.399453,
    "excess_performance": -0.5737,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.160451,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.227089,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.694519,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010254,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.530511,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06071,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.399453,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.551133,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 735,
      "relative_activity": 1.732673,
      "balance": 0.551133,
      "dry_up": 0.820368,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.102506,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.549172,
      "from_high_reference": -0.654874,
      "from_low_reference": 0.156481
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 26.145,
      "fair_value_reference": 71.853908,
      "structural_low": 18.98,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": -0.020676,
        "positive_rate": 0.315789,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.684211,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032758,
        "regime_survival": 0.894737,
        "best_return": 0.23753,
        "worst_return": -0.302211,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.143956,
        "positive_rate": 0.307692,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.692308,
        "median_excess_return": -0.120412,
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        "worst_return": -0.321477,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.213047,
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        "worst_return": -0.644822,
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 24.049999,
        "volume": 694,
        "typical_volume": 531.6,
        "trend": 37.735,
        "fair_value": 79.124183,
        "relative_strength": -60.658727,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.545157,
        "energy": 63.395334,
        "activity_lines": [
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          27.853571,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 567.75,
        "trend": 36.738333,
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        "energy": 55.130471,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 22.9,
        "volume": 664,
        "typical_volume": 600.95,
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        "fair_value": 77.982993,
        "relative_strength": -61.150805,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 59.980877,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.976666,
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          26.404286,
          30.156129
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 791,
        "typical_volume": 640.5,
        "trend": 34.74,
        "fair_value": 77.468842,
        "relative_strength": -55.80499,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.509876,
        "energy": 53.256804,
        "activity_lines": [
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 25.200001,
        "volume": 596,
        "typical_volume": 660.8,
        "trend": 33.826667,
        "fair_value": 76.906844,
        "relative_strength": -57.165662,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 47.794576,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 96,
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        "fair_value": 76.365996,
        "relative_strength": -58.38438,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 49.071786,
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          25.162857,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 20.65,
        "volume": 1044,
        "typical_volume": 708.3,
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        "relative_strength": -63.508706,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 59.999622,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 20.9,
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        "typical_volume": 719.05,
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        "fair_value": 74.769231,
        "relative_strength": -61.495709,
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -71.852808,
        "energy": 77.523142,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.456667,
          22.644546,
          23.525714,
          26.070215
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 21.35,
        "volume": 0,
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        "relative_strength": -60.30984,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 82.927741,
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          21.166667,
          22.289091,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 19.200001,
        "volume": 414,
        "typical_volume": 536.65,
        "trend": 28.768333,
        "fair_value": 73.779844,
        "relative_strength": -62.570705,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -80.705628,
        "energy": 85.167636,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.416667,
          21.595455,
          22.723333,
          24.823656
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 21.799999,
        "volume": 289,
        "typical_volume": 481.05,
        "trend": 28.096667,
        "fair_value": 73.273988,
        "relative_strength": -55.204561,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.82083,
        "energy": 58.925328,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.826667,
          21.462727,
          22.540952,
          24.374086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 24.299999,
        "volume": 123,
        "typical_volume": 410.35,
        "trend": 27.525,
        "fair_value": 72.827197,
        "relative_strength": -49.377527,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -43.215052,
        "energy": 36.225745,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.993333,
          21.839091,
          22.631667,
          24.12914
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 22.200001,
        "volume": 245,
        "typical_volume": 387.45,
        "trend": 26.865,
        "fair_value": 72.339027,
        "relative_strength": -52.360428,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -39.393728,
        "energy": 27.662528,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.223333,
          21.808182,
          22.537381,
          23.785591
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 21.950001,
        "volume": 735,
        "typical_volume": 424.2,
        "trend": 26.145,
        "fair_value": 71.853908,
        "relative_strength": -53.051093,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -33.187041,
        "energy": 19.850952,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.283334,
          21.8,
          22.438095,
          23.468495
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}