{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3752e5e7-76ec-446c-b51b-d4b3bc0dc8a4", "symbol": "CYTK", "name": "Cytokinetics Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 38.75, "architecture_energy": 22.446, "architecture_maturity": 80.908, "architecture_confidence": 86.367, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.68, "rotation_up": 28.22, "upward_expansion": 62.93, "deceleration": 87.99, "rotation_down": 27.17, "downward_expansion": 15.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 78.651333, 79.772727, 77.356952, 74.273312 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 76.76, "trend_reference": 70.498667, "distance_from_trend": 0.088815, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 54.757724, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.401811, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.568149, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.231312, "excess_performance": 0.043859, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.088815, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076069, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.401811, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.101671, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.045681, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.160577, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.231312, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.724077, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12409709, "relative_activity": 1.109427, "balance": 0.724077, "dry_up": 0.815534, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082027, "annualized_volatility": 0.41544, "from_high_reference": -0.130789, "from_low_reference": 1.33384 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 70.498667, "fair_value_reference": 54.757724, "structural_low": 58.43, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.00337, "positive_rate": 0.45, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": -0.013484, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.209836, "worst_return": -0.307591, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.009666, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.087481, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.29164, "worst_return": -0.251017, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.001563, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.034563, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.240079, "worst_return": -0.35106, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.920809, "energy": 79.028242, "activity_lines": [ 82.972667, 79.652, 74.848048, 71.820882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 80.18, "volume": 7660484, "typical_volume": 11361385.75, "trend": 68.922667, "fair_value": 53.889519, "relative_strength": 16.770392, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.012775, "energy": 71.343105, "activity_lines": [ 82.867333, 80.040727, 75.748857, 72.58471 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 80.74, "volume": 7471367, "typical_volume": 11267827.9, "trend": 69.510333, "fair_value": 54.193942, "relative_strength": 18.293005, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.953168, "energy": 54.415449, "activity_lines": [ 82.28, 80.471818, 76.617476, 73.347118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 77.13, "volume": 8947680, "typical_volume": 11186004.45, "trend": 70.023667, "fair_value": 54.475609, "relative_strength": 11.406503, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.423461, "energy": 36.484581, "activity_lines": [ 80.358667, 80.157636, 77.045476, 73.83871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 76.76, "volume": 12409709, "typical_volume": 11185695.5, "trend": 70.498667, "fair_value": 54.757724, "relative_strength": 4.568149, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.750479, "energy": 22.446357, "activity_lines": [ 78.651333, 79.772727, 77.356952, 74.273312 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }