{ "ticker": { "uuid": "37536bde-47f7-4f7a-8ee1-ff8cd78f5396", "symbol": "BTOC", "name": "Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 95.412, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.693, "architecture_energy": 28.904, "architecture_maturity": 31.693, "architecture_confidence": 89.451, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.23, "rotation_up": 16.21, "upward_expansion": 1.94, "deceleration": 50.97, "rotation_down": 50.37, "downward_expansion": 72.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.267847, 0.274635, 0.28437, 0.290999 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.2877, "trend_reference": 0.318187, "distance_from_trend": -0.095814, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.202728, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.869389, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -54.773348, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.361801, "excess_performance": -0.549255, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.095814, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.235539, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.869389, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014719, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.547733, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.183566, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.361801, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.097384, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2698431, "relative_activity": 1.84331, "balance": 1.097384, "dry_up": 0.794854, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.225713, "annualized_volatility": 0.69274, "from_high_reference": -0.824573, "from_low_reference": 0.278667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.318187, "fair_value_reference": 2.202728, "structural_low": 0.225, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.082232, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.125603, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.133536, "worst_return": -0.349136, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.212624, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.318547, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.034567, "worst_return": -0.39068, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.411743, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.629502, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.411743, "worst_return": -0.411743, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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0.299178 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.2501, "volume": 1078793, "typical_volume": 1435223.5, "trend": 0.327313, "fair_value": 2.219237, "relative_strength": -60.69606, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.939788, "energy": 34.276588, "activity_lines": [ 0.263027, 0.274635, 0.284179, 0.293554 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.2877, "volume": 2698431, "typical_volume": 1463905.5, "trend": 0.318187, "fair_value": 2.202728, "relative_strength": -54.773348, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.692782, "energy": 28.90402, "activity_lines": [ 0.267847, 0.274635, 0.28437, 0.290999 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }